NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	124		Excitement	9.9 [95]		MVP	Michael Porter Jr. (DEN): +72.9%
Denver Nuggets	134		Comeback	2.7 [564]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -20.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.52	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.21	0.32	0.01	19	72%	0.58	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Paul George	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.10	0.02	13	62%	0.28	3	-0.13	11	100%	0.16
Russell Westbrook	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	71%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	78%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.08
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	8	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bones Hyland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73	0.73	0.23	0.49	0.00	18	78%	0.73	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.52	0.24	0.29	0.01	21	70%	0.54	1	-0.02	15	80%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Braun	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	3	40%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	4	73%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.01	10	59%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.16	-0.04	22	46%	-0.03	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	3.3	25.7	15.6	34.3	3.4	42.2	0.3	13.2	163.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +42.6%

LAC -18.6%

DEN +28.4%

LAC -10.3%

DEN +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	14.4	112.7	121.8	113.4
season	14.6	14.7		113.7	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.3	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	14.8	11.9	13.1	14.6	12.7	13.5
DEN	14.0	15.2	15.2	17.5	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	46	47	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-20	30	12.7	14.1	-1.39	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Bones Hyland	28	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-18	26	14.2	13.2	1.03	16.1	15.2	0.92
Terance Mann	50	51	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-15	20	13.5	13.5	-0.04	16.0	14.9	1.10
Amir Coffey	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	16.0	13.5	2.54	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Moussa Diabate	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	16.0	13.5	2.54	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Norman Powell	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	13.1	13.7	-0.64	15.5	15.4	0.17
Eric Gordon	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	14.1	13.0	1.19	16.2	14.8	1.44
Russell Westbrook	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	2	-14	13.1	13.9	-0.73	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Kawhi Leonard	82	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.3	14.1	-0.89	15.7	14.6	1.09
Paul George	76	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	8	-26	13.3	13.8	-0.45	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Marcus Morris Sr.	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	7	-24	13.3	13.8	-0.56	15.0	16.2	-1.29
Mason Plumlee	53	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	5	-20	14.6	12.5	2.13	15.9	15.0	0.94

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	60	58	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	4	2	16.2	14.5	1.63	14.2	12.7	1.50
Michael Porter Jr.	81	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-7	24	15.4	15.6	-0.22	13.4	13.6	-0.12
Nikola Jokic	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-1	12	15.5	15.2	0.32	13.3	14.2	-0.88
Jamal Murray	87	90	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-3	16	15.0	17.0	-1.93	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Reggie Jackson	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.16	-3	13	-16	16.2	15.0	1.12	14.3	13.0	1.28
Christian Braun	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	6.0	15.5	-9.51	0.0	13.5	-13.48
Thomas Bryant	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.8	13.2	1.58
Vlatko Cancar	34	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	16	-22	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.3	13.1	1.18
Aaron Gordon	62	63	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.24	5	5	0	15.2	15.8	-0.61	12.8	14.4	-1.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	68	68	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.10	-1	11	-12	15.4	15.5	-0.12	13.2	14.0	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.97,1,1	89.2%
MEM 97, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	89.0%
SAS 101, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	88.3%