inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement8.9 [150] MVPMark Blount (MIN): +40.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 103 Comeback1.6 [473] LVPRicky Davis (MIN): -24.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.230.090.150.021960%0.321-0.092100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0.220,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.220.130.110.011758%0.2200.001191%0.04
Beno Udrih0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.01333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.060.00667%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.030.05-0.060.021553%-0.0300.00683%0.01
Brent Barry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Robert Horry-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.00425%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.01614%-0.1300.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.01-0.150.001045%-0.151-0.0220%-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Blount0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.40.400.220.190.011487%0.431-0.034100%0.05
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.190.19-0.040.22-0.012348%0.314-0.121090%0.05
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bracey Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.01375%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.070.00485%0.103-0.135100%0.02
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.11-0.001845%-0.1000.006100%0.05
Ricky Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25-0.25-0.06-0.20-0.011231%-0.2500.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.11.826.215.724.12.434.32.518.4150.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +4.8%
MIN +32.8%
MIN +5.3%
SAS -10.8%
MIN +17.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.717.915.4111.0110.8104.5
season16.215.4107.5101.9
opponent15.615.4105.898.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS16.816.217.916.814.316.7
MIN16.017.217.220.321.417.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih27290.04-0.540.58-0.022-4616.116.9-0.8317.118.2-1.10
Eric Williams440.01-0.510.52-0.052-4616.216.7-0.4313.218.1-4.85
Matt Bonner4043-0.10-0.400.31-0.193-5816.816.60.2117.118.6-1.49
Michael Finley5155-0.11-0.390.27-0.4913-152815.618.0-2.3918.517.01.51
Fabricio Oberto1816-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-42-617.216.50.6318.117.90.21
Robert Horry4342-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-1017.515.91.5319.616.53.19
Manu Ginobili6464-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.414-61016.417.2-0.7518.516.52.00
Brent Barry2427-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-108-1816.016.9-0.9015.418.9-3.55
Tim Duncan7679-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.41-20-216.517.4-0.8917.719.0-1.30
Bruce Bowen4038-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-1513-2818.015.62.3917.018.5-1.51
Tony Parker6868-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-20-216.816.20.5918.516.22.31

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trenton Hassell76750.83-0.331.170.3417-153217.818.5-0.7117.114.42.70
Mark Blount72710.62-0.120.730.2911-92017.917.70.2317.214.82.32
Randy Foye72700.58-0.080.650.348-61417.718.4-0.6916.816.20.55
Kevin Garnett82790.480.020.470.4220218.017.01.0116.517.6-1.06
Ricky Davis82800.460.040.420.4020217.620.4-2.8016.716.60.03
Justin Reed1090.110.39-0.28-0.014-2618.317.80.4616.316.7-0.36
Mark Madsen66-0.000.50-0.500.03-13-410.818.4-7.5516.816.60.19
Bracey Wright10-0.040.54-0.590.05-35-80.018.1-18.090.016.7-16.66
Mike James3029-0.070.57-0.640.14-79-1618.817.41.3916.017.0-1.02
Craig Smith1617-0.210.71-0.920.14-1214-2619.417.61.8715.317.0-1.68
Troy Hudson1819-0.260.76-1.010.07-1113-2420.017.42.6115.417.0-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 115, NYK 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.84,0.84,191.3%
SEA 108, NJN 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.68,0.83,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.43,0.92,191.2%
MEM 97, SEA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.98,190.8%