NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	176		Excitement	13.6 [8]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +114.2%
LA Clippers	175		Comeback	999.0 [3]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (LAC): -14.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	1.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.87,1.01,1.08,1.08,1.25,1.14	0.32	0.83	0.00	24	78%	1.17	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.14
Davion Mitchell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	89%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Domantas Sabonis	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	14	62%	0.16	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Keegan Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.05,0,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,0	0.18	-0.12	0.05	27	65%	0.27	3	-0.27	11	55%	-0.10
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	69%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.16	0.23	-0.02	18	68%	0.47	4	-0.05	14	79%	0.11
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.37	0.37	0.37	0.01	0.01	22	88%	0.40	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	91%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	14	67%	0.34	4	-0.21	8	87%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.15	-0.02	13	61%	0.34	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.06	-0.06	0.14	-0.20	0.00	12	79%	0.05	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.01	4	91%	0.17	3	-0.31	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	30.3	14.5	27.3	1.8	35.0	1.6	12.2	2.5	12.3	167.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +16.2%

LAC -7.7%

LAC -7.9%

SAC +47.8%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	12.6	14.0	14.4	134.4	133.6	113.4
season	13.5	14.6		117.3	113.7
opponent	14.4	14.8		113.6	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	12.6	13.8	13.1	11.0	11.3	12.5
LAC	14.0	12.3	14.6	13.0	19.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	47	45	1.33	-0.83	2.16	0.98	12	-11	23	13.1	12.3	0.85	14.3	13.8	0.46
Malik Monk	91	93	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.48	22	-21	43	12.2	13.4	-1.14	14.0	13.9	0.13
Keegan Murray	98	98	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-11	23	12.1	14.0	-1.90	14.3	13.1	1.19
Harrison Barnes	82	82	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.56	-4	5	-9	12.3	13.1	-0.77	13.7	14.4	-0.71
De'Aaron Fox	103	101	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	3	-5	12.7	12.1	0.56	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Davion Mitchell	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	6	-11	12.0	12.8	-0.76	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Domantas Sabonis	74	75	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	3	-5	12.1	13.2	-1.05	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Kevin Huerter	49	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	8	-15	12.9	12.4	0.54	14.0	14.0	0.02
Terence Davis	30	29	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	12	-23	14.6	12.0	2.66	13.1	14.2	-1.09
Trey Lyles	41	40	-0.68	1.18	-1.86	-0.39	-10	11	-21	13.8	12.0	1.75	13.9	14.0	-0.05

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	90	91	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.34	3	-4	7	14.0	13.9	0.12	12.2	13.5	-1.32
Marcus Morris Sr.	54	55	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-5	9	14.8	13.4	1.32	12.7	12.5	0.22
Mason Plumlee	59	59	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-5	9	13.5	14.4	-0.93	13.0	12.3	0.70
Paul George	94	94	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	8	-17	14.3	13.1	1.18	11.9	14.4	-2.47
Terance Mann	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-7	13	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.0	12.0	2.02
Norman Powell	86	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.60	5	-6	11	13.8	14.4	-0.67	12.5	12.7	-0.17
Nicolas Batum	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.60	5	-6	11	14.0	14.0	0.04	12.8	12.2	0.56
Kawhi Leonard	104	103	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	6	-13	14.2	13.3	0.91	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Eric Gordon	46	45	-1.25	0.75	-2.00	-0.78	-16	15	-31	13.1	14.5	-1.42	12.9	12.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.59,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.68,0.77,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.91,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	85.9%
VAN 79, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	85.8%
TOR 89, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1	85.7%