NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	121		Excitement	6.3 [663]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +40.2%
Chicago Bulls	129		Comeback	14.2 [219]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -9.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4	0.28	0.13	0.00	21	75%	0.46	3	-0.06	11	100%	0.07
Anfernee Simons	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.17	0.01	0.07	18	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	5	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Nassir Little	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.13	0.00	18	80%	0.45	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.07
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	8	81%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.09	0.03	16	71%	0.27	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	17	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	4	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.2	14.5	23.0	2.5	29.4	124.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.7%

CHI +4.3%

CHI +11.6%

POR -7.8%

CHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	12.9	14.4	122.2	130.3	113.4
season	14.7	14.1		113.4	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.1		110.9	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	14.7	17.5	15.9	16.1
CHI	12.4	14.1	10.6	14.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	68	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-13	18	15.8	16.9	-1.11	13.6	11.4	2.18
Gary Payton II	28	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.2	16.5	-1.34	12.7	13.0	-0.29
Drew Eubanks	56	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	16.6	15.5	1.11	13.3	12.6	0.68
Damian Lillard	84	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-10	12	15.5	19.6	-4.08	13.5	10.2	3.22
Nassir Little	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	17.6	15.7	1.92	11.7	13.3	-1.57
Anfernee Simons	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	16.6	14.6	2.00	13.1	12.5	0.52
Trendon Watford	43	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.5	16.6	-1.11	12.6	13.3	-0.68
Shaedon Sharpe	37	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	4	-16	16.6	15.9	0.77	11.4	13.8	-2.37
Jerami Grant	81	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.29	-12	4	-16	16.3	15.2	1.12	12.8	13.6	-0.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	77	78	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.16	27	-19	46	12.6	14.3	-1.76	16.4	15.3	1.09
Ayo Dosunmu	62	61	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-8	24	12.4	13.9	-1.50	16.9	14.9	1.98
Derrick Jones Jr.	34	36	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-11	30	12.1	13.4	-1.31	17.2	15.5	1.74
Andre Drummond	29	28	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-1	10	11.9	13.4	-1.44	16.2	16.1	0.15
Nikola Vucevic	70	71	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	9	-10	13.4	11.9	1.44	16.1	16.2	-0.15
Coby White	45	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	12	-16	12.8	13.0	-0.19	15.5	16.6	-1.07
DeMar DeRozan	81	81	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	12	-16	13.6	10.2	3.33	16.2	16.0	0.17
Goran Dragic	24	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	13.6	12.7	0.84	15.1	16.5	-1.44
Patrick Williams	65	63	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	19	-30	13.4	12.1	1.31	15.5	17.2	-1.74
Dalen Terry	8	8	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	20	-32	13.6	12.9	0.73	14.5	16.3	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.31,0.34,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	91.3%
DAL 107, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	90.7%
DAL 89, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.89,0.77,0.96,1	90.6%