NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	5.0 [804]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +24.7%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	27.1 [41]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.06	0.02	16	71%	0.22	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	68%	0.11	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	37%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	8	33%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.02	11	68%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	11	83%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	16	63%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.02	11	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	1.8	28.1	16.8	28.1	1.8	23.2	120.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.8%

CHI -13.4%

CHI -7.2%

DET +23.4%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.1	98.9	116.3	104.2
season	15.5	15.7		105.4	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.0	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	16.5	17.7	15.6	16.2
DET	15.0	17.8	12.8	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.0	16.3	-4.35	15.7	15.1	0.68
Doug McDermott	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.0	16.3	-4.35	15.7	15.1	0.68
E'Twaun Moore	3	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-18	20	12.0	16.3	-4.35	15.7	15.1	0.68
Nikola Mirotic	47	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-21	26	15.9	16.6	-0.73	15.8	14.4	1.42
Taj Gibson	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-12	8	15.1	16.9	-1.86	16.4	14.3	2.08
Aaron Brooks	70	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-7	-2	16.6	15.0	1.59	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Joakim Noah	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-12	8	16.7	15.3	1.36	14.2	16.6	-2.32
Pau Gasol	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	6	-28	16.5	15.7	0.84	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Tony Snell	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	-1	-14	16.1	16.5	-0.45	14.8	16.0	-1.25
Kirk Hinrich	48	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-4	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.8	14.4	1.37
Mike Dunleavy	64	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.13	-25	9	-34	16.8	14.7	2.09	14.7	16.1	-1.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	74	0.78	-0.28	1.06	-0.01	27	-11	38	14.6	17.4	-2.83	16.5	15.0	1.50
Joel Anthony	50	50	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-3	22	14.8	15.4	-0.61	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Caron Butler	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	-2	20	14.6	15.9	-1.30	16.6	15.7	0.89
Tayshaun Prince	45	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	10	-4	15.5	14.7	0.72	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Spencer Dinwiddie	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	10	-4	16.1	14.4	1.66	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Reggie Jackson	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	6	4	14.4	16.1	-1.66	16.6	15.6	1.03
Jodie Meeks	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	12	-8	16.0	14.4	1.60	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Andre Drummond	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	10	-4	14.9	15.4	-0.53	16.3	16.1	0.14
Anthony Tolliver	40	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	19	-22	15.5	14.7	0.80	16.3	16.1	0.16
Cartier Martin	9	10	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.10	-13	29	-42	17.4	14.8	2.60	16.3	16.2	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.86,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 78, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	90.9%
ORL 94, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	90.9%
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1	89.9%