NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	1.6 [775]		MVP	Daniel Gafford (WAS): +13.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	103		Comeback	1.5 [532]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): -21.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	0.00	11	70%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Corey Kispert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.02
Deni Avdija	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Kendrick Nunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	38%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	17	41%	0.02	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	19	56%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	22	45%	-0.02	6	-0.19	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	37.7	13.8	26.5	1.6	38.0	143.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.3%

WAS +0.1%

WAS +22.8%

NOP -8.7%

WAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOP	NBA	WAS	NOP	NBA
this game	16.3	12.5	14.4	114.1	102.0	113.4
season	14.8	14.2		113.4	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.6	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.3	15.0	16.9	16.0	16.3
NOP	11.0	13.8	13.1	12.3	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	55	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-4	18	15.8	16.9	-1.11	12.7	12.3	0.34
Bradley Beal	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-4	18	16.6	15.7	0.80	12.2	13.2	-0.94
Daniel Gafford	59	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	4	2	16.7	15.7	1.04	12.3	12.9	-0.59
Kyle Kuzma	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	6	-2	16.4	16.0	0.44	12.8	11.7	1.04
Monte Morris	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	4	2	16.5	16.0	0.43	11.9	13.3	-1.37
Delon Wright	52	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	9	-8	15.6	17.1	-1.51	12.3	12.8	-0.56
Kendrick Nunn	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	10	-10	16.2	16.3	-0.13	12.5	12.5	-0.01
Taj Gibson	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	7	-4	16.6	16.1	0.50	13.6	12.0	1.62
Corey Kispert	54	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	16.2	16.4	-0.16	12.9	12.1	0.76

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-11	12	11.2	12.9	-1.61	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-10	10	12.6	12.4	0.18	17.0	15.3	1.75
Brandon Ingram	60	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-10	10	11.9	13.5	-1.55	16.7	15.7	0.99
Trey Murphy III	58	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	12.3	12.9	-0.59	16.3	16.2	0.09
Naji Marshall	39	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	13.1	12.2	0.91	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Devonte' Graham	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	13.5	12.0	1.44	15.6	16.7	-1.07
Jose Alvarado	56	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	12.6	12.4	0.22	15.7	16.9	-1.20
CJ McCollum	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	12.3	13.4	-1.08	16.3	16.1	0.21
Herbert Jones	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	12.7	12.3	0.43	17.0	15.2	1.81
Willy Hernangomez	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	13.1	12.1	0.96	15.6	16.8	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.9%
DAL 92, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.8%
IND 100, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	94.4%