NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	8.6 [234]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +34.1%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	2.9 [339]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -12.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	17	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.03	17	50%	0.15	1	-0.09	10	80%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Evan Mobley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.14,0.08,-0.12	0.07	-0.18	0.01	24	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.48,0.44,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.19	0.03	21	73%	0.50	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	6	79%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	8	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	12	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	31.2	15.4	23.7	2.7	35.0	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +63.8%

CLE -9.1%

NYK +11.6%

CLE -17.9%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	14.4	109.6	114.1	113.4
season	15.1	15.1		114.0	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		112.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	15.3	15.5	15.2	15.3
NYK	14.2	17.5	15.8	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	57	58	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.25	18	-20	38	14.6	16.4	-1.77	17.3	13.0	4.32
Darius Garland	67	68	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.46	20	-22	42	14.9	16.2	-1.27	16.3	14.0	2.35
Jarrett Allen	74	75	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.36	15	-17	32	14.8	16.9	-2.06	16.5	12.3	4.17
Dean Wade	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-1	0	16.3	15.2	1.09	17.0	15.6	1.43
Cedi Osman	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	1	-4	16.8	15.2	1.66	17.2	15.6	1.59
Lamar Stevens	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	4	-10	15.8	15.2	0.60	13.6	16.0	-2.42
Donovan Mitchell	74	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.52	12	-14	26	14.9	16.8	-2.00	16.5	12.8	3.70
Evan Mobley	74	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	14.9	16.6	-1.74	16.1	14.4	1.64
Kevin Love	25	23	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.07	-20	18	-38	17.0	14.7	2.29	12.1	16.9	-4.75
Caris LeVert	44	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.15	-19	17	-36	16.3	14.4	1.96	12.8	18.1	-5.35
Ricky Rubio	28	25	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.01	-26	24	-50	16.9	14.6	2.25	13.2	16.6	-3.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	52	52	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-12	26	15.1	16.4	-1.33	15.9	14.5	1.45
Isaiah Hartenstein	45	46	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	14.6	16.8	-2.19	15.4	15.1	0.27
Miles McBride	26	27	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-11	24	12.3	17.0	-4.67	15.3	15.3	0.08
Obi Toppin	22	21	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	-10	22	13.4	16.4	-3.06	15.6	15.2	0.44
RJ Barrett	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	3	-4	15.0	17.6	-2.62	14.6	17.0	-2.47
Quentin Grimes	67	70	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	11	-20	16.7	13.1	3.54	15.5	14.7	0.71
Julius Randle	70	73	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	12	-22	16.4	13.4	3.06	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Jalen Brunson	65	66	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.23	-11	13	-24	17.3	11.9	5.34	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Jericho Sims	47	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	11	-20	16.8	14.6	2.19	15.1	15.4	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1	91.9%
BOS 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.44,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	91.6%
PHX 102, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	91.0%