NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	7.4 [360]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (SAS): +19.6%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	2.1 [784]		LVP	Brent Barry (SAS): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.08	-0.02	18	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	22	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.08	-0.03	21	65%	0.28	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	9	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	11	54%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	17	49%	0.05	4	-0.12	7	29%	-0.05
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	30.7	16.8	25.9	2.4	34.6	136.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +2.8%

PHX -4.9%

SAS +59.6%

PHX -14.1%

SAS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.0	18.2	15.6	112.1	122.7	104.4
season	13.8	16.3		110.2	106.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.8	12.4	14.5	17.1	14.0
SAS	17.4	17.0	19.1	19.8	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	32	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	1	-8	13.1	14.5	-1.41	18.2	18.2	0.00
Tim Thomas	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	14.6	13.8	0.83	17.4	18.6	-1.16
Eddie House	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	0	-6	14.3	13.9	0.44	19.0	17.9	1.10
Raja Bell	78	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-7	8	14.3	12.4	1.90	18.2	18.7	-0.53
Steve Nash	67	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-6	6	13.9	14.3	-0.44	17.9	19.0	-1.10
Boris Diaw	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-6	6	13.6	16.5	-2.95	18.3	17.9	0.38
Leandro Barbosa	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.43	-3	-3	0	14.2	13.3	0.95	18.2	18.2	-0.01
Shawn Marion	81	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	14.1	13.1	1.02	18.5	16.1	2.45

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	-1	8	17.7	19.2	-1.46	14.1	13.9	0.11
Bruce Bowen	67	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	7	-8	18.3	18.0	0.25	13.8	14.6	-0.73
Michael Finley	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-4	14	16.8	19.7	-2.85	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Tony Parker	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	3	0	18.5	17.5	1.06	14.6	12.7	1.82
Nazr Mohammed	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	7	-8	18.9	16.3	2.68	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Robert Horry	31	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-5	16	16.2	19.3	-3.11	14.5	13.8	0.71
Tim Duncan	63	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	19.2	15.8	3.35	14.3	13.1	1.20
Brent Barry	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	7	-8	18.5	18.1	0.42	14.1	14.0	0.10
Beno Udrih	27	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	19.0	17.9	1.04	13.3	14.3	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.65,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.8%
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.0%
CHI 112, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	91.9%