NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	7.8 [324]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +35.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	1.9 [952]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -15.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	10	90%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.06	0.04	17	69%	0.26	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	9	68%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.20	0.16	0.01	15	77%	0.38	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.19,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.01	23	63%	0.39	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.09
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.00	7	100%	0.34	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.2	24.5	14.8	26.3	0.8	34.4	125.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.6%

CLE +27.0%

CLE +4.1%

CLE +8.3%

CHI -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.7	115.5	119.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		103.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	15.3	14.2	11.6	13.9
CLE	14.0	16.8	16.4	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-4	5	14.5	13.2	1.31	16.1	15.7	0.44
Justin Holiday	68	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-12	21	14.0	13.9	0.11	16.7	14.0	2.72
Denzel Valentine	70	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-11	19	14.2	13.4	0.79	16.4	14.7	1.68
Nikola Mirotic	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	12.4	15.8	-3.48	16.1	15.7	0.35
Jerian Grant	29	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	4	-11	12.9	14.4	-1.53	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Kris Dunn	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-7	11	14.4	12.9	1.53	16.1	15.4	0.76
Paul Zipser	22	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	5	-13	13.2	14.1	-0.92	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Lauri Markkanen	58	56	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	1	-5	15.2	12.0	3.24	16.4	15.2	1.23
Bobby Portis	29	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	6	-15	13.1	14.3	-1.14	14.3	16.6	-2.35
David Nwaba	34	33	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	12	-27	13.9	14.0	-0.09	13.8	17.0	-3.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	52	52	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-8	19	15.4	16.5	-1.08	13.2	14.8	-1.65
LeBron James	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-2	7	16.6	13.7	2.90	14.8	10.9	3.87
Kevin Love	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-2	7	16.7	14.9	1.77	14.8	12.7	2.11
Dwyane Wade	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	2	-1	15.4	16.5	-1.16	12.9	15.1	-2.23
Jose Calderon	45	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	-1	5	16.5	15.4	1.16	15.1	12.9	2.23
Jae Crowder	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.5	2.45	14.4	13.4	0.99
Tristan Thompson	47	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	6	-9	14.5	17.3	-2.75	12.9	14.9	-1.95
Jeff Green	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	7	-11	14.8	17.2	-2.46	13.4	14.5	-1.15
Channing Frye	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	16.7	15.6	1.06	15.4	13.3	2.12
Cedi Osman	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	14.9	16.2	-1.22	10.6	14.8	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%
NJN 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	92.5%
MEM 90, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	92.4%