NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	8.6 [243]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +10.6%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.9 [763]		LVP	Duane Washington Jr. (PHX): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.08	0.07	17	51%	0.08	0	0.00	11	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	79%	0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Oshae Brissett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	17	58%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	14	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Duarte	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	15	58%	0.06	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.00	-0.09	19	55%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.03	0.05	11	65%	0.15	1	-0.05	15	73%	-0.03
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.08	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.09	6	60%	0.07	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.09
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.08
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	35%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.6	17.3	29.4	2.4	41.5	148.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.8%

IND -15.9%

PHX +20.8%

PHX +0.4%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	14.0	14.4	101.9	105.7	113.4
season	13.7	14.5		113.3	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.4	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	14.5	12.8	12.1	13.3
PHX	14.6	13.8	13.0	14.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	61	66	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-17	29	13.4	13.2	0.16	14.3	13.3	1.05
Myles Turner	79	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-14	23	13.3	13.3	-0.00	14.1	13.7	0.38
Buddy Hield	79	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-11	17	13.0	14.5	-1.54	13.4	15.7	-2.31
Andrew Nembhard	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-5	5	13.5	13.2	0.21	14.0	13.9	0.16
T.J. McConnell	86	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-5	5	13.1	14.3	-1.19	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Oshae Brissett	25	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	6	-17	14.8	12.9	1.86	15.5	13.5	1.95
Jalen Smith	26	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	9	-23	13.3	13.3	0.00	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Chris Duarte	39	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.05	-18	13	-31	13.4	13.3	0.15	13.9	14.0	-0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	4	-13	13.3	13.3	-0.01	14.0	13.9	0.05

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Wainright	43	43	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.26	14	-9	23	12.7	14.8	-2.15	13.3	13.4	-0.03
Saben Lee	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	14.5	13.2	1.28	13.1	13.6	-0.48
Jock Landale	39	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-5	15	12.6	14.8	-2.20	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Duane Washington Jr.	34	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-10	25	13.6	14.1	-0.54	14.5	12.7	1.81
Josh Okogie	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	13.5	15.0	-1.49	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Mikal Bridges	88	85	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	13.6	15.6	-1.93	13.0	14.8	-1.80
Torrey Craig	46	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	7	-9	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.4	13.3	0.18
Damion Lee	59	60	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	10	-15	14.6	13.1	1.56	13.1	13.6	-0.49
Bismack Biyombo	64	60	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	18	-31	15.1	12.2	2.96	13.9	12.6	1.30
Dario Saric	18	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	12	-19	15.9	13.5	2.40	12.4	13.5	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.57,0.48,0.49,0.66,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	92.6%
ATL 88, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,1	92.4%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%