NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	8.4 [274]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): +79.5%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	21.4 [69]		LVP	Malik Beasley (UTA): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.49	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49	0.34	0.23	0.08	27	71%	0.49	0	0.00	11	100%	0.05
Lamar Stevens	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	6	92%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	60%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Raul Neto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Isaac Okoro	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	18	52%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.71,0.79	0.79	0.16	0.63	-0.00	19	71%	0.87	4	-0.08	7	71%	0.04
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	9	59%	0.14	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	18	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.06
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	27.4	14.6	28.2	2.5	45.5	147.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -29.5%

UTA +68.6%

UTA +40.3%

CLE -31.4%

UTA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.4	112.9	117.2	113.4
season	15.1	14.3		114.0	114.4
opponent	14.1	14.7		115.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	12.8	16.2	11.8	14.0
UTA	14.3	14.4	14.4	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	13	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-6	10	12.9	14.2	-1.27	17.1	14.4	2.67
Isaac Okoro	33	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	-1	0	15.2	13.4	1.80	16.1	14.1	2.00
Raul Neto	26	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-4	6	14.5	13.9	0.69	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Kevin Love	41	40	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-6	10	15.3	13.1	2.21	12.5	16.3	-3.86
Darius Garland	83	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	13.4	16.9	-3.55	15.1	13.4	1.73
Cedi Osman	23	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	9	-20	17.1	13.1	3.96	12.7	15.4	-2.69
Caris LeVert	79	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.8	14.7	-0.89	14.5	15.7	-1.16
Evan Mobley	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	6	-14	13.5	16.0	-2.49	15.8	11.5	4.30
Lamar Stevens	55	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.58	1	-3	4	13.6	14.5	-0.90	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Donovan Mitchell	74	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	2	-6	13.6	15.1	-1.43	15.5	12.9	2.57

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	81	83	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.63	7	-5	12	15.0	13.7	1.36	13.8	14.9	-1.05
Mike Conley	67	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-6	14	15.4	13.6	1.80	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Jordan Clarkson	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	15.5	13.1	2.45	14.2	13.5	0.69
Malik Beasley	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	15.6	12.7	2.88	13.4	15.6	-2.28
Walker Kessler	57	59	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	17.1	11.7	5.40	14.4	13.5	0.83
Rudy Gay	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	12.7	15.2	-2.49	15.1	13.8	1.30
Jarred Vanderbilt	38	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	4	-6	12.7	16.0	-3.31	14.3	13.8	0.50
Ochai Agbaji	36	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	13.4	15.6	-2.18	14.7	13.6	1.09
Simone Fontecchio	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	7	-12	13.5	15.0	-1.45	13.3	14.1	-0.79
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	50	50	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.12	-10	12	-22	12.3	17.3	-5.05	13.8	14.3	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.74,1	88.5%
TOR 117, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.92,0.78,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.43,1	87.6%
MIA 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.96,1	87.6%