inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 109 Excitement5.0 [894] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +28.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback2.6 [732] LVPJaden Hardy (DAL): -5.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Davis Bertans0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.010.00590%0.0800.0000%0.00
Christian Wood0.070,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.12-0.010.041371%0.144-0.081283%0.00
Frank Ntilikina0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.040.010.012100%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.011847%0.0400.00475%-0.01
Dwight Powell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01075%0.0400.00875%-0.01
Reggie Bullock0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01764%0.050-0.0200%0.00
JaVale McGee0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Theo Pinson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03275%-0.0000.0000%0.00
McKinley Wright IV-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001650%-0.024-0.031080%0.01
Jaden Hardy-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03841%-0.032-0.02667%-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.170.07-0.041770%0.313-0.031385%0.03
Kenrich Williams0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.01-0.00978%0.1300.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00356%0.0400.003100%0.01
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.01-0.032043%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Eugene Omoruyi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00475%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.01267%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Jalen Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011145%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.001242%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.427.614.027.81.434.7136.4
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +36.8%
DAL -1.0%
OKC +6.1%
OKC +6.7%
OKC +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game15.714.014.4112.4123.7113.4
season15.213.7115.5113.5
opponent14.514.3112.8115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.518.614.215.915.7
OKC13.813.514.014.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Lawson45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-1099.216.0-6.7110.014.2-4.23
JaVale McGee1010-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-9717.715.42.2514.314.00.32
Frank Ntilikina2626-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-9713.716.4-2.7713.914.0-0.12
Theo Pinson1214-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-8514.115.9-1.8216.413.62.74
Jaden Hardy5457-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-141715.615.8-0.1613.814.3-0.45
Christian Wood8078-0.20-0.300.11-0.231-121315.616.2-0.6714.611.53.09
Davis Bertans2324-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-7318.015.02.9812.614.5-1.90
Reggie Bullock6764-0.23-0.270.05-0.17-2-9715.815.40.3614.213.70.43
Spencer Dinwiddie7272-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.23-2-9716.114.41.7813.814.6-0.74
Dwight Powell5249-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-110-1116.115.20.8514.213.90.31
McKinley Wright IV1719-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-154-1914.815.9-1.1114.014.0-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.6867-0.560.06-0.62-0.06-176-2315.615.9-0.3613.714.6-0.90

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eugene Omoruyi36350.50-0.000.50-0.0318-72513.414.4-0.9418.414.24.21
Luguentz Dort60590.400.100.300.2265114.213.70.5416.015.20.82
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander74730.400.100.290.1974314.213.50.6414.718.6-3.91
Lindy Waters III43450.350.150.20-0.0915-41913.214.7-1.5216.614.91.67
Tre Mann28290.330.170.17-0.1115-41913.214.3-1.1716.115.50.65
Josh Giddey53520.240.26-0.020.1538-514.413.60.7715.416.0-0.55
Aaron Wiggins30310.220.28-0.060.0565113.814.1-0.3018.114.53.55
Mike Muscala22240.180.32-0.15-0.12101913.814.1-0.3114.316.1-1.85
Isaiah Joe36350.070.43-0.350.05110-913.814.1-0.3314.916.1-1.20
Kenrich Williams5050-0.010.51-0.510.34-1223-3514.413.60.8914.516.9-2.39
Jalen Williams5352-0.180.68-0.870.23-1425-3914.713.21.5214.916.6-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 83, MEM 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,195.0%
CHA 75, MIL 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
DET 96, WAS 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,194.1%