NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	4.5 [911]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +21.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.1 [639]		LVP	Vince Carter (MEM): -11.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.05	22	58%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.03	0.04	19	70%	0.24	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	64%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	14	48%	0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	-0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	30.6	15.7	28.7	2.8	33.5	139.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +14.0%

MEM +10.4%

MEM +18.1%

MEM +5.0%

MEM +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	17.4	15.1	98.8	111.8	104.2
season	16.0	15.9		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.6	17.3	16.0	15.6	16.6
MEM	17.5	14.6	20.0	17.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	34	34	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-22	32	17.1	16.3	0.75	20.9	15.1	5.79
Damjan Rudez	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	7.0	17.0	-10.00	9.0	17.7	-8.74
Roy Hibbert	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-16	20	16.6	16.7	-0.02	20.2	14.7	5.45
Paul George	25	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	17.5	16.3	1.19	16.8	17.7	-0.96
Ian Mahinmi	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-10	8	17.2	16.3	0.91	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Donald Sloan	17	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-6	0	15.4	17.0	-1.62	15.1	18.0	-2.92
Luis Scola	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-8	4	16.8	16.5	0.30	17.2	17.6	-0.43
David West	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-2	-8	16.9	16.3	0.64	17.9	16.9	1.00
George Hill	64	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	17.0	15.4	1.57	17.9	15.7	2.26
CJ Miles	62	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.2	18.0	-1.78	17.3	17.7	-0.37
Lavoy Allen	12	11	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	2	-16	16.1	16.7	-0.65	11.0	18.4	-7.39
Rodney Stuckey	51	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	7	-26	16.5	16.9	-0.49	15.8	20.2	-4.46

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	58	57	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.04	19	-7	26	15.8	20.9	-5.12	16.7	16.6	0.13
Jordan Adams	43	43	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-3	18	16.0	18.9	-2.86	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Vince Carter	35	34	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-7	26	15.5	18.8	-3.22	17.1	16.3	0.80
Kosta Koufos	29	30	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	16.0	18.2	-2.23	16.0	17.0	-1.05
Jeff Green	60	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	5	2	17.7	16.8	0.96	16.8	16.1	0.73
Zach Randolph	59	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	11	-10	19.1	13.7	5.45	17.2	15.3	1.93
Marc Gasol	66	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	18.1	15.1	3.00	16.9	15.9	0.98
JaMychal Green	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	9.0	17.7	-8.74	7.0	17.0	-10.00
Courtney Lee	45	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	18.2	16.5	1.67	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Beno Udrih	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	19	-26	20.9	15.8	5.12	16.6	16.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 106, SAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%