inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 121 Excitement7.6 [410] MVPJayson Tatum (BOS): +39.6%
San Antonio Spurs 116 Comeback1.0 [1233] LVPJeremy Sochan (SAS): -15.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.400,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.40.140.23-0.032660%0.432-0.04560%-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.30.220.100.021288%0.3000.002100%0.00
Robert Williams III0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.270.080.17-0.01683%0.2700.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00460%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Derrick White0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01753%0.0200.001100%0.00
Grant Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01325%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
Marcus Smart-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00462%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.070,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.002650%0.126-0.18650%-0.02
Al Horford-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01729%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.250.250.050.200.001464%0.343-0.0900%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.070.00781%0.1800.00250%-0.02
Romeo Langford0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.060.021547%0.0600.0000%0.00
Zach Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.01-0.011362%0.112-0.06367%-0.01
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00753%0.061-0.02580%0.01
Tre Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.030.001847%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011050%0.0200.0000%0.00
Isaiah Roby00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.01633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Charles Bassey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.0000%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.130.001050%-0.102-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.428.314.824.42.331.5128.0
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +44.2%
BOS +1.7%
BOS +1.7%
SAS -0.8%
BOS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game14.113.114.4114.2109.4113.4
season14.514.0116.3109.2
opponent14.114.6119.0110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.314.713.116.714.1
SAS12.514.112.613.313.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Brogdon60630.460.040.430.1710-51514.913.01.9613.312.70.57
Jaylen Brown85850.410.090.330.3332114.412.91.5313.113.1-0.01
Robert Williams III48490.320.180.140.2914-313.114.9-1.7513.412.80.68
Sam Hauser27280.300.200.090.126-1713.314.4-1.1113.313.00.27
Grant Williams39420.300.200.090.2132112.814.9-2.0813.312.90.37
Al Horford69660.270.230.040.2123-114.712.91.8713.013.3-0.35
Jayson Tatum81810.230.27-0.030.1823-113.914.8-0.8812.515.1-2.61
Derrick White71680.170.33-0.160.23-27-914.712.81.9613.312.80.50
Marcus Smart50480.040.46-0.430.0405-513.514.6-1.1813.113.1-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Roby110.02-0.520.540.020-5511.013.1-2.108.014.1-6.14
Charles Bassey3231-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-5512.113.5-1.4613.114.5-1.35
Doug McDermott4645-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-2-112.913.2-0.2713.714.3-0.61
Keita Bates-Diop5350-0.17-0.330.160.06-83-1112.613.6-1.0412.915.1-2.20
Stanley Johnson2627-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-50-514.312.71.6713.014.5-1.51
Romeo Langford6669-0.22-0.280.07-0.220-5513.212.90.3414.712.91.83
Josh Richardson6462-0.24-0.260.02-0.426-111712.813.5-0.6914.114.00.15
Tre Jones6466-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-1-313.213.00.1814.313.80.50
Malaki Branham4543-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.14-72-913.213.00.2413.814.3-0.50
Zach Collins7475-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.27-4-1-313.512.11.4614.513.11.35
Jeremy Sochan5961-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.440-5513.113.00.0815.112.72.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 99, DET 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.26,092.8%
UTA 115, HOU 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,092.3%
MIA 83, BOS 750.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,092.2%