NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	131		Excitement	2.2 [1285]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): +9.0%
Charlotte Hornets	107		Comeback	1.1 [1185]		LVP	Mark Williams (CHA): -5.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	72%	0.09	2	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	17	57%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Roddy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Bane	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Konchar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	5	42%	0.00	4	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kennedy Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	23	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Bouknight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	14	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.08	18	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	28.3	14.5	26.2	2.6	27.7	129.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.2%

MEM +9.0%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +5.5%

MEM +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	12.7	13.8	14.4	119.1	100.0	113.4
season	13.9	14.0		113.4	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		114.4	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	10.8	11.5	15.6	13.4	12.7
CHA	14.1	15.1	13.2	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Santi Aldama	46	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	6	12	13.2	12.4	0.78	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Steven Adams	63	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.33	24	0	24	12.4	13.2	-0.79	14.5	13.0	1.46
Ja Morant	62	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	8	8	12.8	12.6	0.24	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Desmond Bane	60	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.43	24	0	24	12.6	12.8	-0.15	14.6	13.0	1.65
Dillon Brooks	59	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.25	17	7	10	11.9	13.6	-1.70	14.6	12.9	1.66
John Konchar	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	14	-4	13.7	12.1	1.53	12.9	14.4	-1.52
David Roddy	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	17	-10	12.4	12.9	-0.45	13.7	14.0	-0.28
Tyus Jones	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	6	12	11.8	13.1	-1.24	15.1	13.2	1.91
Xavier Tillman	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	24	-24	13.2	12.4	0.79	13.0	14.5	-1.46
Jaren Jackson Jr.	56	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.20	11	13	-2	11.8	13.7	-1.86	14.6	13.1	1.48
Vince Williams Jr.	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	29	-34	16.5	12.4	4.08	11.5	14.0	-2.53
Ziaire Williams	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	34	-44	14.2	12.5	1.72	11.0	14.3	-3.30
Kennedy Chandler	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	34	-44	14.2	12.5	1.72	11.0	14.3	-3.30

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-26	28	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.6	12.6	0.97
Kai Jones	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-26	28	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.6	12.6	0.97
James Bouknight	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-26	28	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.6	12.6	0.97
Bryce McGowens	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-26	28	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.6	12.6	0.97
Mason Plumlee	51	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-20	16	13.5	14.2	-0.67	13.0	12.5	0.49
P.J. Washington	75	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-14	4	14.1	13.3	0.75	13.0	11.9	1.10
Jalen McDaniels	63	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.56	-28	4	-32	14.3	13.2	1.16	11.8	14.1	-2.32
Cody Martin	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-13	2	13.4	14.2	-0.87	12.7	12.7	-0.01
JT Thor	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-8	-8	13.5	13.9	-0.43	11.2	13.1	-1.92
Mark Williams	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.36	-22	-2	-20	14.4	13.4	1.04	12.2	13.1	-0.84
Terry Rozier	61	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-16	8	13.7	14.0	-0.24	12.9	12.4	0.48
LaMelo Ball	77	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-9	-6	14.2	12.9	1.31	12.8	12.5	0.27
Dennis Smith Jr.	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-10	-4	13.6	14.0	-0.38	13.2	12.3	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
OKC 120, BKN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIA 103, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%