NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	1.9 [1261]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +11.9%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	1.2 [432]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -8.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	16	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	68%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	92%	0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	17	29%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	5	8%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	12	31%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.6	28.8	19.5	24.6	3.5	28.2	131.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.9%

SAC +7.1%

SAC +1.6%

SAC +4.7%

NJN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	15.5	119.2	83.7	101.6
season	14.0	15.0		104.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		96.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.0	13.5	16.1	14.1	13.9
NJN	16.8	14.7	15.2	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	38	38	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.33	28	8	20	13.6	14.0	-0.44	15.8	15.1	0.78
Doug Christie	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.51	32	4	28	14.2	13.2	1.01	15.5	15.0	0.52
Mike Bibby	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.58	34	2	32	14.1	13.4	0.61	15.5	15.0	0.58
Peja Stojakovic	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.52	31	5	26	13.6	14.3	-0.72	16.1	14.0	2.14
Vlade Divac	55	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.42	24	12	12	13.8	14.0	-0.22	15.9	14.7	1.25
Jim Jackson	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.30	19	17	2	15.2	12.9	2.25	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Chris Webber	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.50	25	11	14	14.7	12.3	2.46	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Damon Jones	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	38	-40	13.6	13.9	-0.31	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Lawrence Funderburke	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	38	-40	13.6	13.9	-0.31	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Gerald Wallace	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	39	-42	12.0	14.3	-2.30	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Mateen Cleaves	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	39	-42	12.0	14.3	-2.30	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Hedo Turkoglu	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	39	-42	12.0	14.3	-2.30	14.2	15.6	-1.40

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-42	48	14.1	15.6	-1.51	11.9	14.3	-2.41
Brian Scalabrine	18	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-39	42	14.2	15.6	-1.40	12.0	14.3	-2.30
Tamar Slay	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-38	40	14.7	15.6	-0.87	14.1	13.8	0.27
Lucious Harris	53	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.47	-22	-14	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.10	13.8	14.0	-0.14
Aaron Williams	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-31	26	14.7	15.8	-1.02	14.3	13.6	0.75
Richard Jefferson	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.36	-20	-16	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.07	14.5	13.0	1.57
Jason Kidd	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.51	-25	-11	-14	15.2	15.7	-0.52	14.6	12.7	1.92
Anthony Johnson	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-25	14	15.7	15.2	0.52	12.7	14.6	-1.92
Kenyon Martin	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.49	-27	-9	-18	15.9	14.6	1.34	13.3	14.8	-1.55
Jason Collins	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.58	-31	-5	-26	15.8	14.7	1.02	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Kerry Kittles	32	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.30	-22	-14	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.13	14.9	13.4	1.56
Rodney Rogers	35	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.37	-28	-8	-20	16.3	14.8	1.47	14.8	13.4	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 115, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CLE 116, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
LAL 111, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%