NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Excitement	8.0 [342]		MVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): +41.4%
Charlotte Hornets	121		Comeback	1.4 [771]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -14.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Giddey	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.03	15	57%	0.18	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Jalen Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	23	53%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Luguentz Dort	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.07	13	76%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	19	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.24	0.00	13	86%	0.47	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.04
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	7	89%	0.25	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	7	80%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	15	79%	0.22	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	43%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.10	0.03	7	74%	0.04	2	-0.10	5	40%	-0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	31.0	0.3	24.5	2.4	31.6	115.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +67.3%

OKC -2.2%

CHA +5.7%

OKC -21.1%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.3	14.4	109.7	116.3	113.4
season	13.7	14.0		113.5	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.4	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.1	15.1	12.8	13.5
CHA	14.0	15.7	14.3	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Mann	47	47	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-12	16	14.4	12.8	1.66	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Eugene Omoruyi	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	17.7	13.2	4.58	17.9	14.0	3.82
Kenrich Williams	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-8	8	14.9	13.0	1.94	15.7	13.7	1.92
Jaylin Williams	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	2	-12	14.7	12.4	2.26	14.6	14.0	0.67
Aaron Wiggins	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	15.5	12.6	2.91	14.5	14.2	0.32
Josh Giddey	72	74	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.0	12.5	1.53	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Isaiah Joe	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	11.6	14.3	-2.72	12.4	15.1	-2.68
Mike Muscala	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-10	12	11.4	15.1	-3.65	13.4	15.0	-1.66
Luguentz Dort	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	12.5	15.0	-2.53	14.4	14.2	0.21
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	1	-10	13.1	15.1	-2.03	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Jalen Williams	58	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-4	0	13.1	14.1	-1.00	14.8	13.6	1.27

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-6	20	14.5	13.6	0.92	13.9	12.4	1.54
Gordon Hayward	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	13.8	15.7	-1.81	13.6	13.2	0.43
P.J. Washington	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-4	16	14.4	14.1	0.35	13.1	14.4	-1.24
Mason Plumlee	57	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	14.7	13.8	0.97	12.9	14.3	-1.35
Terry Rozier	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	6	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.10	12.7	16.0	-3.31
Jalen McDaniels	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	8	-8	14.2	14.4	-0.25	14.6	12.7	1.82
Mark Williams	44	42	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	9	-10	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.6	12.8	1.85
Kelly Oubre Jr.	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.9	14.1	0.88	13.8	13.4	0.42
JT Thor	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	12	-16	13.3	14.5	-1.21	14.8	13.3	1.49
Theo Maledon	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	14	-20	13.6	14.5	-0.92	12.4	13.9	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.82,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.7%
LAC 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.75,0.88,0.97,1,1	92.6%