NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	6.1 [706]		MVP	James Harden (PHI): +42.4%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	3.5 [474]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -8.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.42	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.20	0.18	-0.04	16	67%	0.42	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.04
Georges Niang	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.13	0.04	11	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.02	8	94%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	22	59%	0.17	3	-0.04	15	67%	-0.02
P.J. Tucker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	120%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	-0.00	0.03	24	64%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.01	19	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.01	0.06	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	21	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.7	31.5	15.7	26.4	3.5	27.2	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.2%

PHI +10.8%

NYK -11.8%

PHI +10.5%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	14.4	132.2	120.4	113.4
season	15.2	15.1		115.9	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.9	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	15.1	16.0	15.4	15.8
NYK	11.7	19.2	16.7	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	43	46	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-10	27	15.7	16.0	-0.33	15.3	16.0	-0.70
James Harden	80	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	15.8	16.5	-0.74	16.3	10.4	5.87
Shake Milton	46	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-2	11	15.5	16.2	-0.66	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Montrezl Harrell	27	29	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	-6	19	15.0	16.2	-1.15	15.1	15.9	-0.72
Joel Embiid	63	64	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	13	-19	16.2	15.0	1.15	15.9	15.1	0.72
Danuel House Jr.	21	22	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	7	-7	16.0	15.8	0.14	13.3	16.4	-3.03
Tobias Harris	67	70	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	12	-17	16.3	14.5	1.78	16.0	14.4	1.59
De'Anthony Melton	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	9	-11	16.1	15.5	0.57	16.9	14.3	2.58
P.J. Tucker	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	15.3	16.4	-1.16	16.3	15.0	1.31
Matisse Thybulle	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	16.9	15.7	1.16	10.9	16.1	-5.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	51	53	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-19	31	15.7	15.5	0.16	16.9	14.3	2.58
Miles McBride	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	21.8	14.9	6.91	17.8	15.6	2.15
Julius Randle	78	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-12	17	14.9	19.5	-4.57	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Jalen Brunson	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	15.2	16.7	-1.50	15.3	17.5	-2.25
Immanuel Quickley	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.0	16.2	-1.16	16.7	15.1	1.58
Quentin Grimes	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.26	15.5	17.3	-1.79
RJ Barrett	84	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.6	16.1	-0.53	16.0	14.9	1.06
Jericho Sims	23	21	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	9	-25	19.6	14.3	5.28	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Isaiah Hartenstein	34	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	8	-23	14.5	16.3	-1.74	14.4	16.5	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
LAC 100, NOK 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%
MIL 106, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	92.7%