NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	6.2 [592]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +26.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	90		Comeback	4.8 [455]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -13.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.15	0.01	23	58%	0.31	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.10	0.03	7	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	18	50%	0.11	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
James Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	78%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	18	62%	0.19	5	-0.12	9	89%	-0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	6	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	8	59%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	19	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.6	30.0	14.8	23.1	1.7	35.3	136.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.8%

LAC +7.4%

LAC +15.9%

NOK -1.8%

NOK -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOK	NBA	LAC	NOK	NBA
this game	14.5	16.9	15.4	109.9	97.8	104.5
season	15.7	16.0		103.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	13.3	13.7	14.7	14.5
NOK	16.9	18.0	17.0	15.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	38	39	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.21	19	-9	28	14.7	14.4	0.28	17.1	16.8	0.33
Tim Thomas	33	35	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.31	14	-4	18	13.8	15.0	-1.19	17.0	16.8	0.19
Sam Cassell	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-8	26	13.8	16.7	-2.88	17.6	15.0	2.63
Cuttino Mobley	90	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	14.6	7.0	7.63	16.9	15.5	1.44
Elton Brand	79	77	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	7	-4	14.6	14.2	0.34	17.0	16.3	0.77
Daniel Ewing	8	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	8	-6	17.6	14.3	3.37	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Shaun Livingston	63	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	10	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.63	16.5	17.9	-1.46
Aaron Williams	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	15	-20	17.3	14.2	3.10	16.0	17.0	-1.05
Quinton Ross	25	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	15	-20	14.8	14.5	0.35	17.0	16.9	0.17
Chris Kaman	41	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	17	-24	15.3	14.0	1.31	16.4	17.4	-1.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	48	45	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.01	9	-19	28	16.1	17.8	-1.78	15.9	13.2	2.74
Cedric Simmons	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	16.5	17.0	-0.52	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Devin Brown	79	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	16.7	17.9	-1.18	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Rasual Butler	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-7	4	16.7	17.8	-1.17	14.4	15.3	-0.98
Tyson Chandler	73	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	17.2	15.8	1.42	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Jannero Pargo	42	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	17.3	16.6	0.73	14.9	14.3	0.67
Desmond Mason	82	82	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	-1	-8	17.1	15.5	1.59	14.6	14.2	0.36
Linton Johnson	52	52	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.25	-21	11	-32	17.4	16.3	1.08	13.9	15.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	91.7%
DEN 94, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.49,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.4%
SEA 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0	91.3%