NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	124		Excitement	8.7 [221]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +27.9%
Toronto Raptors	123		Comeback	5.0 [153]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -21.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.01	13	71%	0.33	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.01	13	78%	0.35	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.01	8	60%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Trey Lyles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	68%	0.16	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.02,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	23	51%	0.05	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.09	-0.02	16	71%	0.41	3	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.03	0.06	25	64%	0.20	2	-0.08	11	100%	0.15
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.15	0.04	19	43%	-0.18	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	25.5	15.4	27.4	2.3	37.4	136.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +56.5%

TOR -10.1%

SAC +19.1%

TOR -15.5%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	12.7	15.4	14.4	120.4	120.6	113.4
season	13.5	14.7		117.3	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	13.0	12.3	12.6	12.7
TOR	15.5	14.7	16.5	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	86	85	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-12	25	12.9	11.6	1.23	15.6	14.4	1.24
Malik Monk	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-9	19	12.9	12.2	0.76	15.0	16.4	-1.41
De'Aaron Fox	89	89	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-5	11	12.3	15.1	-2.86	15.7	14.0	1.65
Harrison Barnes	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-7	15	12.7	12.6	0.06	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Keegan Murray	71	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	12.3	13.5	-1.20	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Terence Davis	51	52	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	13.0	12.3	0.65	16.6	14.2	2.36
Richaun Holmes	7	6	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	0	1	11.9	12.7	-0.87	15.7	15.4	0.24
Trey Lyles	25	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	10	-19	14.0	12.2	1.81	15.7	15.4	0.38
Davion Mitchell	27	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	14	-27	12.4	12.8	-0.41	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Chimezie Metu	10	11	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	14	-27	11.5	12.8	-1.30	13.7	15.6	-1.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Koloko	28	29	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.00	9	-10	19	14.5	15.8	-1.30	13.1	12.5	0.56
Chris Boucher	35	36	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-8	15	15.9	15.2	0.63	13.2	12.4	0.76
Dalano Banton	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	3	-7	14.2	15.6	-1.34	14.3	12.5	1.81
Fred VanVleet	82	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-9	17	15.3	16.2	-0.94	12.3	14.2	-1.90
Gary Trent Jr.	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	3	-7	15.1	15.9	-0.86	12.5	12.9	-0.42
Juancho Hernangomez	49	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	3	-7	16.0	14.9	1.08	12.8	12.6	0.19
Thaddeus Young	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	1	-3	15.5	15.3	0.18	12.0	13.5	-1.53
Khem Birch	14	15	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	7	-15	17.0	15.2	1.81	14.5	12.4	2.10
Scottie Barnes	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	15.7	14.1	1.56	12.3	14.3	-1.95
Pascal Siakam	91	91	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	15.3	16.8	-1.54	13.0	10.2	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.4,0.38,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.02,0	91.8%
NOP 116, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.0%
MIA 92, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.27,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	90.9%