NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	10.2 [67]		MVP	Simone Fontecchio (UTA): +69.1%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	55.5 [50]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -19.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.42	0.16	0.27	0.00	13	77%	0.45	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.05
Moses Moody	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.15	-0.00	4	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	5	64%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Poole	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.06,-0.08	0.09	-0.17	0.01	23	61%	0.20	6	-0.28	13	92%	0.06
Klay Thompson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	25	42%	-0.10	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.69	0.69	0.12	0.57	0.00	10	72%	0.72	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	110%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	20	52%	0.23	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	11	58%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	29.1	14.5	26.2	1.8	37.3	136.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +93.9%

GSW -13.0%

GSW -36.9%

GSW -9.3%

UTA +15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.4	118.3	120.4	113.4
season	13.9	14.3		114.1	114.4
opponent	14.1	14.1		115.5	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	13.1	13.5	14.5	13.7
UTA	13.5	12.2	16.5	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	61	59	0.85	-1.35	2.20	0.55	10	-11	21	14.7	12.3	2.38	14.8	13.3	1.42
Jonathan Kuminga	62	62	0.56	-1.06	1.63	0.33	8	-9	17	14.2	13.0	1.21	14.5	13.7	0.74
Moses Moody	40	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-12	23	13.0	14.1	-1.05	14.3	14.1	0.16
James Wiseman	12	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	12.7	13.8	-1.14	12.2	14.4	-2.20
JaMychal Green	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	3	-7	14.4	13.3	1.14	14.8	13.8	0.98
Anthony Lamb	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	8	-17	12.7	14.2	-1.50	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Jordan Poole	78	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.61	1	-2	3	13.7	13.6	0.13	14.4	13.5	0.91
Klay Thompson	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	6	-13	13.9	13.0	0.95	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Ty Jerome	52	52	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.82	-8	7	-15	13.9	13.5	0.42	13.9	14.4	-0.43
Donte DiVincenzo	66	62	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.89	-7	6	-13	12.4	15.9	-3.58	13.8	14.8	-1.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	47	46	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.95	4	-3	7	13.3	14.8	-1.50	11.6	15.3	-3.66
Ochai Agbaji	3	3	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.85	4	-3	7	5.3	14.4	-9.09	1.3	14.0	-12.71
Malik Beasley	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-5	11	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.0	12.9	1.07
Kelly Olynyk	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	2	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.50	14.0	13.0	1.04
Collin Sexton	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-5	11	14.2	14.1	0.06	14.4	12.8	1.64
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	63	62	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.53	-11	12	-23	14.4	13.7	0.70	13.5	14.0	-0.55
Jarred Vanderbilt	53	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	4	-7	14.2	14.1	0.07	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Rudy Gay	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	3	-5	15.2	13.7	1.52	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Jordan Clarkson	77	79	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.43	2	-1	3	14.6	12.8	1.85	14.0	12.6	1.47
Walker Kessler	47	49	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.53	0	1	-1	14.7	13.7	0.97	15.2	12.3	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.33,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 117, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,1	90.6%
SAS 80, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1	90.5%
LAL 111, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.28,1	89.9%