NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	9.7 [77]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +58.3%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	10.9 [120]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHX): -24.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.58	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.58	0.25	0.33	-0.00	23	76%	0.64	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.05
Robert Covington	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	10	67%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.11
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11	0.17	-0.06	0.00	19	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.21	0.20	-0.00	14	87%	0.44	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.14	-0.00	12	81%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.09	0.00	9	87%	0.31	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.01,-0.17,0.22	0.22	-0.09	0.32	0.00	17	43%	0.62	4	-0.39	8	100%	0.25
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	13	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.19	-0.01	12	40%	-0.19	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.32

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.3	25.5	15.7	26.1	3.5	40.5	139.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -23.0%

PHX +58.9%

PHX +19.0%

POR -22.9%

PHX +18.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.4	118.2	120.4	111.3
season	14.9	14.7		116.9	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.2		109.6	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	15.9	14.1	15.2	15.1
PHX	14.2	15.4	13.1	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	54	57	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.28	3	-4	7	14.2	16.1	-1.87	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Anfernee Simons	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-1	1	15.2	15.0	0.26	14.4	14.1	0.31
Norman Powell	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	6	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.71	14.4	13.8	0.53
Enes Kanter	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	4	-9	15.6	14.8	0.73	15.4	13.6	1.84
CJ McCollum	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-3	5	15.2	14.6	0.51	14.3	13.7	0.55
Robert Covington	77	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	1	-3	15.1	15.1	-0.08	13.6	16.3	-2.70
Damian Lillard	89	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	1	-3	15.1	15.0	0.08	13.9	16.9	-3.05
Carmelo Anthony	46	41	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.82	-1	0	-1	15.8	14.5	1.33	15.2	13.4	1.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	50	54	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.67	3	-2	5	15.9	12.4	3.46	15.5	14.6	0.86
Mikal Bridges	84	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-4	9	13.6	17.7	-4.14	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Torrey Craig	28	31	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	-1	3	14.9	13.9	1.02	16.6	14.4	2.20
Chris Paul	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	4	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.16	15.1	15.0	0.10
Jae Crowder	83	83	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	3	-5	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.2	14.4	0.83
Frank Kaminsky	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-6	13	14.1	14.2	-0.07	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Jevon Carter	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	16.4	13.9	2.51	16.4	14.9	1.51
Dario Saric	66	63	-0.66	1.16	-1.83	-0.37	-10	11	-21	14.4	13.7	0.61	14.8	15.6	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.55,0.58,1	91.8%
PHX 106, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	91.3%
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	91.3%