inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 116 Excitement9.1 [173] MVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +45.6%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback1.6 [397] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -33.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0.460,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.460.100.380.031373%0.522-0.0700%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.220.230.000.011281%0.282-0.061275%-0.13
Christian Wood0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.090.01787%0.211-0.022100%0.01
Maxi Kleber0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.10-0.00675%0.1700.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.070.040.040.01859%0.091-0.026100%0.07
Dwight Powell0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.013100%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Reggie Bullock-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Josh Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Luka Doncic-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.07,-0.12-0.03-0.10-0.011751%0.065-0.19989%0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.380.380.060.330.01767%0.401-0.024100%0.05
Aaron Gordon0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.190.030.021382%0.262-0.07771%-0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.07-0.021565%0.243-0.091100%0.01
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.00462%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00478%0.081-0.0210%-0.02
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02-0.020.04-0.050.001359%0.073-0.08683%-0.10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.03-0.070.02967%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.33-0.33-0.08-0.230.021135%-0.252-0.08978%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.23.329.316.631.82.835.2150.2
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +44.3%
DAL +1.0%
DAL +3.4%
DEN -3.2%
DAL +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game15.314.114.4118.4117.3113.4
season15.214.7115.5116.6
opponent14.514.3112.3115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.614.216.917.815.3
DEN16.214.111.914.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luka Doncic79790.72-0.220.930.517-61314.319.1-4.7613.616.2-2.59
Christian Wood53540.69-0.190.880.439-81714.616.0-1.4414.713.41.38
Tim Hardaway Jr.66650.63-0.130.760.514-3714.916.0-1.0413.116.1-2.92
Dorian Finney-Smith68680.240.26-0.020.36-45-916.911.65.2814.712.72.05
Dwight Powell44420.210.29-0.080.2101-115.115.4-0.3213.814.4-0.55
Reggie Bullock30300.090.41-0.320.18-34-715.015.4-0.4314.214.10.16
Spencer Dinwiddie61620.040.46-0.420.13-34-716.313.62.7314.213.90.28
Maxi Kleber5353-0.050.55-0.600.13-67-1315.714.80.9414.713.41.25
Josh Green3637-0.060.56-0.63-0.0910113.916.0-2.1314.114.10.02

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun31310.25-0.751.000.105-61114.613.90.6716.914.52.44
Zeke Nnaji27270.02-0.520.550.11-32-516.313.33.0516.015.00.96
Jeff Green3433-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-1116.412.93.4616.014.91.15
Jamal Murray6060-0.16-0.340.18-0.6015-163113.914.5-0.6616.513.33.14
Vlatko Cancar1515-0.16-0.340.180.08-87-1516.513.72.858.516.5-7.95
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6364-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-2313.016.2-3.1914.915.9-1.03
Bones Hyland5959-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.25-43-715.412.33.1015.315.30.01
Bruce Brown6463-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.23-76-1313.415.4-1.9715.215.3-0.08
Nikola Jokic7171-0.640.14-0.78-0.702-3513.316.3-3.0515.016.0-0.96
Aaron Gordon6667-0.650.15-0.80-0.47-65-1113.116.3-3.2114.916.1-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.31,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, ATL 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,092.9%
LAL 103, CHI 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,092.4%
IND 109, MIN 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,092.3%