NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	120		Excitement	2.9 [1220]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +14.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.3 [490]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -6.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.00	0.05	15	86%	0.20	5	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	62%	0.06	2	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.06	14	74%	0.07	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	18	52%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jericho Sims	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	10	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.17	-0.00	0.12	12	83%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	32.3	15.4	30.6	2.3	29.6	137.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.5%

NYK +3.6%

NYK +5.5%

NYK +15.2%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	12.6	14.4	115.4	99.1	113.4
season	15.1	14.1		115.6	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.7	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	12.1	14.1	19.1	14.6
MIN	11.9	12.7	13.6	12.2	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	56	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	0	13	15.2	14.0	1.14	11.6	13.8	-2.16
Immanuel Quickley	35	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-2	17	15.5	14.2	1.33	11.9	13.0	-1.09
Isaiah Hartenstein	46	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	4	5	14.3	14.9	-0.51	12.1	12.9	-0.81
Evan Fournier	28	31	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-2	17	13.3	15.1	-1.80	11.2	13.1	-1.94
Derrick Rose	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	2	9	13.6	15.1	-1.47	11.0	13.3	-2.30
Jalen Brunson	67	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	15.1	13.7	1.45	13.6	10.6	2.94
RJ Barrett	77	80	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	14.7	14.4	0.36	13.3	10.4	2.99
Julius Randle	68	69	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	9	-5	15.2	13.5	1.74	13.4	11.0	2.42
Jericho Sims	38	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	13.1	15.5	-2.37	13.0	12.3	0.76
Cam Reddish	62	63	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	15	-17	14.6	14.6	0.03	13.2	11.6	1.59
Svi Mykhailiuk	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	14.6	-0.31	4.0	12.7	-8.74
Miles McBride	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	14.6	-0.31	4.0	12.7	-8.74
Ryan Arcidiacono	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	14.3	14.6	-0.31	4.0	12.7	-8.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Knight	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	10.8	12.7	-1.86	16.4	14.5	1.85
Austin Rivers	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-24	35	11.3	13.1	-1.79	17.3	13.4	3.91
Bryn Forbes	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-12	11	11.6	12.8	-1.17	15.1	14.5	0.58
Jaden McDaniels	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	13.5	12.1	1.35	14.4	14.8	-0.42
D'Angelo Russell	66	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-14	15	13.5	11.1	2.38	14.7	14.5	0.28
Taurean Prince	48	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-3	-7	12.2	12.9	-0.66	14.9	14.4	0.53
Kyle Anderson	60	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	12.9	12.1	0.85	13.5	16.0	-2.54
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	12.9	11.6	1.27	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Jordan McLaughlin	38	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	0	-13	12.0	12.9	-0.85	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Naz Reid	43	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	1	-15	11.8	13.1	-1.30	15.3	14.2	1.08
Anthony Edwards	85	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-8	3	13.0	10.8	2.22	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Jaylen Nowell	27	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	6	-25	11.0	13.1	-2.05	13.2	15.1	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CLE 116, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DAL 105, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%