NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	7.2 [489]		MVP	Christian Wood (DAL): +20.9%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	8.2 [379]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -12.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	16	51%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	41%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	0.00	-0.11	-0.01	20	55%	0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	15	70%	0.29	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	20	66%	0.29	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.10	0.02	20	50%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	4	33%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.4	14.7	30.0	2.4	26.3	127.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.5%

UTA -16.2%

DAL +2.4%

DAL +16.2%

DAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	14.4	108.7	109.6	113.4
season	14.3	15.2		114.4	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.1		115.8	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	14.8	14.6	14.7	15.0
DAL	14.8	17.2	13.6	18.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	13.0	15.2	-2.19	16.8	15.9	0.91
Rudy Gay	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	0	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.42	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Kelly Olynyk	41	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-6	9	16.3	13.9	2.42	16.6	15.5	1.11
Malik Beasley	45	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-4	5	14.8	15.2	-0.48	13.9	18.0	-4.09
Mike Conley	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	14.9	15.2	-0.34	17.1	13.8	3.25
Lauri Markkanen	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-6	9	14.5	16.1	-1.64	16.6	14.6	1.93
Talen Horton-Tucker	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	7	-17	15.4	14.8	0.55	13.7	17.0	-3.27
Jarred Vanderbilt	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	1	-5	15.0	14.9	0.16	15.8	16.4	-0.67
Jordan Clarkson	62	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	0	-3	15.5	14.0	1.48	16.7	14.4	2.29
Collin Sexton	57	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.52	-4	1	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.15	16.7	14.7	1.96

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	33	31	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.25	25	-22	47	16.7	15.6	1.09	17.0	14.0	3.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-6	15	17.0	13.6	3.40	15.2	14.5	0.64
Reggie Bullock	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	7	-11	17.1	14.3	2.76	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Josh Green	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-5	13	15.1	16.5	-1.37	15.6	14.6	0.91
Luka Doncic	70	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	6	-9	15.8	16.3	-0.45	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Dorian Finney-Smith	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	3	-3	16.0	16.0	0.01	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Christian Wood	48	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	10	-17	15.7	16.2	-0.47	14.7	15.3	-0.65
Maxi Kleber	51	50	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	7	-11	15.4	16.6	-1.19	14.1	16.1	-2.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	43	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	14.3	17.4	-3.05	15.2	14.9	0.31
JaVale McGee	16	17	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.08	-7	10	-17	15.7	16.0	-0.33	14.9	15.0	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.95,1	92.9%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.2%
POR 89, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.91,1	91.9%