NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	6.5 [617]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +30.3%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	2.6 [126]		LVP	Jalen Smith (IND): -13.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	-0.01	0.02	16	76%	0.22	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	16	68%	0.25	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	13	64%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.03	14	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	36%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Oshae Brissett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	14	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.11	0.02	22	71%	0.37	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	3	89%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.04	7	79%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	20	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	24.7	14.8	23.5	2.4	39.4	134.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

IND +0.2%

IND +26.2%

BKN -6.2%

IND +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	14.4	128.9	120.8	113.4
season	13.7	14.4		113.3	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.4		113.0	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	13.1	17.2	19.3	15.8
BKN	14.6	14.6	14.7	12.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	61	62	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.13	25	-16	41	17.0	13.9	3.09	14.2	13.7	0.46
Buddy Hield	78	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	2	5	16.0	15.0	1.04	14.1	13.8	0.30
Bennedict Mathurin	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	15.9	15.8	0.10	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Jalen Smith	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	1	7	16.0	15.4	0.55	13.4	15.5	-2.11
Tyrese Haliburton	67	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	3	3	16.0	15.5	0.49	13.3	15.6	-2.32
Chris Duarte	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	15.1	16.4	-1.31	15.1	13.1	2.01
James Johnson	29	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	8	-7	15.4	16.0	-0.55	15.5	13.4	2.11
Andrew Nembhard	34	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.1	13.5	1.62
Terry Taylor	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	0.0	15.8	-15.84	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Goga Bitadze	28	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	19	-29	14.7	16.3	-1.53	15.3	13.5	1.74
Oshae Brissett	8	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	17	-25	12.7	16.1	-3.36	8.0	14.5	-6.55

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	10	10	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-13	17	15.8	13.8	2.01	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Patty Mills	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-9	9	15.3	13.8	1.51	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Yuta Watanabe	24	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	16.4	13.2	3.22	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Nic Claxton	42	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-3	-3	15.8	12.6	3.26	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Joe Harris	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-8	7	12.7	15.4	-2.67	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-6	3	13.5	16.1	-2.60	16.2	14.4	1.82
Kyrie Irving	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-9	9	13.5	16.3	-2.79	16.6	12.4	4.22
Seth Curry	35	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	4	-17	15.7	13.0	2.65	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Ben Simmons	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	13.3	16.2	-2.92	16.4	14.0	2.38
Royce O'Neale	77	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	3	-15	13.5	15.9	-2.43	16.3	14.1	2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.72,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
SAS 96, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
DAL 104, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	93.4%