NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	118		Excitement	8.8 [211]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (DET): +36.6%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	3.7 [647]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -32.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.23	0.18	0.10	0.04	21	59%	0.30	1	-0.07	17	94%	0.13
Onyeka Okongwu	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.03	10	74%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Jalen Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	66%	0.18	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	18	35%	-0.07	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.35,0.37	0.37	0.22	0.17	0.02	21	72%	0.42	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	70%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.13
Kevin Knox II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.19	0.02	25	48%	-0.06	7	-0.26	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.3	29.0	14.8	27.6	2.4	35.6	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.0%

ATL +11.8%

ATL +17.8%

ATL +0.7%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.4	118.0	115.3	113.4
season	13.8	14.6		115.1	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.3	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	14.7	11.7	16.0	14.2
DET	16.6	13.5	14.6	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	58	54	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.34	22	-17	39	13.4	15.2	-1.74	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Trae Young	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.30	10	-5	15	13.4	17.2	-3.86	14.6	16.4	-1.78
John Collins	78	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	13.9	15.1	-1.25	14.4	16.7	-2.25
Dejounte Murray	82	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	1	3	14.7	11.7	3.04	14.5	17.1	-2.56
Justin Holiday	46	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	8	-11	14.3	14.1	0.23	16.3	13.9	2.35
De'Andre Hunter	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	2	1	14.4	13.9	0.48	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Aaron Holiday	36	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	2	1	13.8	14.4	-0.60	16.8	14.0	2.74
Jalen Johnson	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	15.1	13.9	1.25	16.7	14.4	2.25
Onyeka Okongwu	41	43	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	0.04	-19	24	-43	15.5	13.2	2.29	15.3	14.6	0.73

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamidou Diallo	27	28	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-11	17	17.0	14.1	2.90	16.1	13.4	2.70
Kevin Knox II	9	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	16.9	14.7	2.15	18.2	13.7	4.49
Isaiah Stewart	59	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	13.8	16.6	-2.83	13.9	14.5	-0.56
Cory Joseph	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-7	9	15.3	14.3	1.06	15.1	12.6	2.48
Killian Hayes	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	3	-11	15.8	14.6	1.24	15.7	13.4	2.29
Isaiah Livers	48	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.9	-0.00	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	14.4	16.5	-2.07	13.5	15.8	-2.26
Jalen Duren	39	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-3	1	16.6	13.8	2.83	14.5	13.9	0.56
Saddiq Bey	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	6	-17	14.1	16.6	-2.47	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Cade Cunningham	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	3	-11	14.6	16.4	-1.90	13.2	17.6	-4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.28,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.05,0	92.2%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	91.5%
GSW 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	91.3%