NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	8.0 [339]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +35.5%
Brooklyn Nets	109		Comeback	5.4 [373]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (TOR): -17.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.31	0.16	0.14	-0.02	11	82%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.22	0.02	0.02	21	73%	0.38	3	-0.15	9	56%	-0.05
O.G. Anunoby	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17	-0.04	0.19	-0.02	9	50%	0.24	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.03	0.02	16	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	6	27%	-0.08	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.19	-0.05	24	59%	0.39	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.22	0.22	0.02	0.23	0.03	18	59%	0.37	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.02
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	11	63%	0.13	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.07
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.10	0.01	7	44%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	29.3	15.3	28.4	2.4	31.6	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +24.4%

BKN +6.3%

BKN +8.6%

BKN +10.0%

BKN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.4	108.2	113.5	113.4
season	14.7	14.4		114.0	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.5		113.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.3	14.6	15.4	14.3	14.9
BKN	15.3	14.2	12.4	18.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	13	12	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-8	12	14.1	15.0	-0.97	14.2	15.0	-0.87
Pascal Siakam	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-6	8	15.1	14.5	0.55	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Scottie Barnes	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-6	8	14.6	15.9	-1.35	15.5	13.2	2.39
O.G. Anunoby	75	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-8	12	14.6	16.1	-1.58	15.4	13.2	2.26
Christian Koloko	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	15.7	14.4	1.30	14.4	15.3	-0.96
Fred VanVleet	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-7	10	14.9	15.0	-0.05	15.3	13.5	1.86
Precious Achiuwa	37	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	4	-12	15.3	14.7	0.61	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Dalano Banton	27	26	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	11	-26	16.3	14.4	1.91	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Gary Trent Jr.	75	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	14.5	16.2	-1.64	14.6	15.8	-1.18

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	78	80	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.39	22	-18	40	15.3	13.3	2.03	15.5	12.2	3.25
Nic Claxton	66	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-5	14	15.3	14.1	1.25	15.7	13.3	2.44
Markieff Morris	37	38	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.27	11	-7	18	15.8	14.4	1.35	15.6	14.5	1.17
Patty Mills	23	24	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-11	26	13.5	15.4	-1.85	15.0	14.9	0.05
Royce O'Neale	80	79	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	9	-14	15.3	13.2	2.01	14.5	16.7	-2.15
Ben Simmons	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	7	-10	15.0	14.8	0.18	15.0	14.7	0.35
Kevin Durant	70	72	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	12	-20	15.1	14.4	0.74	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Joe Harris	37	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	14	-24	13.1	16.1	-3.00	14.2	15.4	-1.12
Day'Ron Sharpe	23	22	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	15	-26	13.6	15.3	-1.73	12.9	15.5	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.45,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.77,0.72,1	89.5%
UTA 97, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.72,0.94,0.58,1	89.4%
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	89.3%