inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 137 Excitement4.4 [994] MVPJosh Richardson (SAS): +16.9%
Indiana Pacers 134 Comeback1.0 [761] LVPT.J. McConnell (IND): -6.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.020.041387%0.193-0.025100%0.01
Devin Vassell0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.010.021564%0.1300.00683%0.00
Tre Jones0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.10.020.07-0.011260%0.133-0.03683%0.03
Keldon Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.10.11-0.000.001568%0.152-0.05475%-0.00
Zach Collins0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.01-0.03869%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.03664%0.082-0.022162%-0.01
Jeremy Sochan0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03450%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joshua Primo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01250%-0.013-0.05250%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.090.090.17-0.010.071568%0.0900.00887%0.01
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.050.000.021254%0.0400.002100%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.030.030.100.020.081861%0.094-0.068100%0.02
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.06973%0.072-0.044100%0.01
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.01757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.02972%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.01950%0.031-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terry Taylor0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.000.06764%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Chris Duarte0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03633%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.526.314.532.32.444.6150.0
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.6%
IND -0.3%
IND -9.0%
SAS +8.3%
SAS +6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASINDNBASASINDNBA
this game12.913.014.4124.5118.6113.4
season14.013.7109.2113.3
opponent14.414.1116.4119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.013.812.611.412.9
IND12.614.415.510.113.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keldon Johnson77800.65-0.150.800.1816-132912.015.0-3.0013.312.21.09
Josh Richardson67700.470.030.440.3830312.213.9-1.7412.314.0-1.61
Joshua Primo46480.380.120.26-0.0314-112512.613.1-0.4912.913.0-0.03
Jakob Poeltl65670.370.130.230.0112-92112.613.3-0.7813.911.62.24
Keita Bates-Diop19190.180.32-0.130.1512-114.812.52.3813.412.90.56
Tre Jones81810.180.32-0.150.47-1013-2313.212.01.1913.012.80.20
Devin Vassell79830.160.34-0.180.42-912-2113.212.01.1712.314.7-2.33
Zach Collins40410.130.37-0.240.25-47-1114.412.02.3612.613.2-0.62
Jeremy Sochan48470.080.42-0.340.0221112.413.2-0.7713.712.41.35
Doug McDermott2829-0.090.59-0.690.20-1013-2313.612.60.9912.113.3-1.19

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
T.J. McConnell3837-0.02-0.480.47-0.227-101712.613.1-0.5313.912.41.50
Isaiah Jackson4037-0.04-0.460.41-0.226-91512.413.3-0.9014.112.31.78
James Johnson2625-0.06-0.440.39-0.091-4513.912.71.2114.612.42.24
Aaron Nesmith4745-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-3313.212.80.4813.812.21.61
Bennedict Mathurin7169-0.17-0.330.16-0.439-122112.014.5-2.5011.714.9-3.27
Andrew Nembhard7272-0.19-0.310.13-0.5111-142512.314.1-1.7512.413.7-1.28
Chris Duarte3435-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-63-914.312.41.9615.611.64.00
Jalen Smith1415-0.20-0.300.110.13-118-1913.512.90.6214.112.71.38
Goga Bitadze3737-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-74-1114.912.02.9214.112.21.86
Terry Taylor5654-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-74-1113.012.90.0511.314.4-3.17
Buddy Hield6259-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.19-85-1312.513.5-0.9012.113.8-1.77
Tyrese Haliburton6865-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.18-107-1713.112.80.3011.714.5-2.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 94, NOH 830.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,096.3%
PHI 101, MIL 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DEN 96, UTA 750.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%