inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Excitement2.6 [1234] MVPAaron Gordon (DEN): +15.4%
Denver Nuggets 122 Comeback2.0 [760] LVPTyus Jones (MEM): -5.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Anderson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02769%0.071-0.012100%0.01
De'Anthony Melton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.00-0.06950%0.052-0.00475%-0.00
John Konchar0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brandon Clarke0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.000.07769%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Ziaire Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04867%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Xavier Tillman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0010.001100%0.00
Desmond Bane0.000,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.07-0.000.061158%0.0000.002100%0.00
Yves Pons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Santi Aldama-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00750%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Steven Adams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%0.011-0.0120%-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01950%0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Dillon Brooks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.021540%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Tyus Jones-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.02831%-0.032-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.00-0.061181%0.195-0.045100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.190.010.062470%0.173-0.032100%0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.000.00889%0.131-0.002100%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.00-0.05956%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.02564%0.0300.00475%-0.00
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Markus Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01460%0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02350%0.022-0.03475%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Will Barton0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.051162%-0.003-0.024100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.829.214.732.92.428.3138.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +35.4%
DEN +8.9%
DEN +10.2%
MEM -4.1%
MEM -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game13.714.714.5107.9119.6110.8
season14.114.8112.9113.4
opponent14.414.3111.6107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.416.113.311.213.7
DEN14.414.512.917.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yves Pons1090.00-0.500.50-0.217-202711.113.9-2.8317.214.52.75
Xavier Tillman2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.4415-284311.214.3-3.0616.614.32.34
Santi Aldama2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.4415-284311.214.3-3.0616.614.32.34
Steven Adams4747-0.16-0.340.180.22-130-1315.112.42.7614.714.8-0.10
Dillon Brooks5655-0.19-0.310.110.28-163-1914.612.52.1414.315.1-0.80
Tyus Jones4647-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-2-915.112.42.7115.014.50.45
Desmond Bane4647-0.22-0.280.050.22-152-1714.512.91.5514.315.0-0.70
John Konchar4545-0.24-0.260.01-0.395-182312.814.4-1.6215.614.11.50
Brandon Clarke2930-0.27-0.23-0.030.12-130-1313.513.7-0.1913.715.2-1.49
Jaren Jackson Jr.4950-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-185-2314.512.91.5814.315.1-0.85
Kyle Anderson4748-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-9513.014.2-1.2214.614.8-0.17
Ziaire Williams4242-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-3-712.614.4-1.8514.015.2-1.30
De'Anthony Melton4850-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.12-7-6-113.114.1-1.0114.415.0-0.66

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic75750.59-0.090.68-0.5037-246114.116.4-2.3514.511.33.21
Bones Hyland47460.490.010.47-0.0719-62513.216.0-2.7513.114.1-1.00
Austin Rivers56550.430.070.360.34310-714.315.2-0.8312.515.0-2.47
Aaron Gordon71710.410.090.31-0.0917-42114.614.9-0.2214.811.03.73
JaMychal Green47450.320.180.150.29112-1114.215.2-0.9712.114.9-2.78
Davon Reed30290.200.30-0.100.20013-1315.214.50.6412.514.1-1.64
Jeff Green54540.150.35-0.19-0.1194515.414.01.4314.412.81.66
Will Barton62620.080.42-0.34-0.0449-514.714.7-0.0614.013.10.86
Monte Morris48480.030.47-0.44-0.06310-715.613.91.7214.612.81.77
Markus Howard770.000.50-0.500.26-922-3117.914.53.3710.613.9-3.31
Facundo Campazzo660.000.50-0.500.21-720-2717.514.52.9610.713.8-3.18
DeMarcus Cousins77-0.200.70-0.900.15-1225-3719.914.35.5211.113.8-2.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 82, DAL 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
PHX 80, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NOP 74, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%