inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 82 Excitement2.7 [1170] MVPDerek Harper (DAL): +8.5%
Dallas Mavericks 103 Comeback1.6 [778] LVPAntonio Davis (IND): -8.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.021363%0.071-0.02450%-0.00
Jalen Rose0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.021057%0.013-0.0010%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02556%0.0010.006100%0.00
Travis Best-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04558%0.013-0.01250%-0.01
Vincent Askew-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derrick McKey-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03525%-0.0410.00250%0.00
Jerome Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04743%-0.004-0.0400%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.07932%-0.022-0.02475%-0.01
Dale Davis-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.150.00-0.091127%-0.044-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.031332%-0.0900.00862%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011168%0.111-0.02333%-0.01
Jim Jackson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.01-0.031067%0.082-0.004100%0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011165%0.032-0.001100%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03978%0.053-0.0200%0.00
Oliver Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.05450%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.04643%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Fred Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loren Meyer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01850%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Tony Dumas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.06828%-0.0310.00250%-0.01
Jamal Mashburn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.061140%-0.033-0.01333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game58.31.727.215.614.91.726.3145.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +41.9%
DAL +1.0%
DAL +2.5%
DAL +1.1%
DAL +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDALNBAINDDALNBA
this game14.215.715.684.5107.3104.4
season15.315.9103.699.1
opponent15.716.3105.5101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.318.812.911.814.2
DAL14.911.719.217.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred Hoiberg3534-0.01-0.490.49-0.4515-365111.515.6-4.0917.814.53.29
Travis Best5755-0.03-0.470.43-0.216-273313.015.8-2.8918.012.65.48
Erick Dampier4946-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-161113.315.0-1.7617.014.52.54
Derrick McKey6057-0.23-0.270.040.30-18-3-1514.813.11.6915.116.5-1.42
Jalen Rose4446-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-14713.015.1-2.0315.515.9-0.34
Dale Davis7272-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-18-3-1515.410.54.9015.416.5-1.01
Vincent Askew1919-0.33-0.17-0.160.34-232-2516.613.63.0814.715.9-1.20
Reggie Miller4444-0.36-0.14-0.210.23-20-1-1915.812.82.9614.516.7-2.17
Jerome Allen3435-0.37-0.13-0.240.28-221-2315.413.51.8513.217.1-3.98
Antonio Davis7172-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-13-8-513.615.6-2.0015.117.5-2.46

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Oliver Miller50510.430.070.36-0.2222-12314.317.2-2.8315.013.21.74
George McCloud45460.350.150.19-0.272102115.515.9-0.3915.512.92.56
Loren Meyer45450.320.180.14-0.3523-22514.716.6-1.9015.912.63.28
Tony Dumas43440.280.220.06-0.191651114.816.4-1.6414.913.51.42
Jason Kidd53530.260.240.02-0.12138515.016.6-1.6414.913.21.74
Derek Harper43440.240.26-0.020.01813-516.615.01.6413.214.9-1.74
Jamal Mashburn49490.230.27-0.04-0.071011-115.815.60.1613.614.7-1.14
Jim Jackson53530.220.28-0.060.08516-1116.414.81.6413.514.9-1.42
Chris Gatling45460.180.32-0.140.12219-1716.415.11.3213.215.1-1.91
Fred Roberts660.000.50-0.500.12-425-2918.015.52.468.714.5-5.85
Samaki Walker660.000.50-0.500.12-425-2918.015.52.468.714.5-5.85
Eric Montross4242-0.000.50-0.500.20-728-3517.114.62.5313.114.9-1.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 77, DET 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
WAS 115, PHI 1320.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
DEN 70, NJN 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%