NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	80		Excitement	2.5 [1183]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +6.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.6 [941]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.13	9	86%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	68%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.20	-0.00	-0.13	15	22%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	10	21%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	8	25%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	20	64%	0.05	4	-0.04	10	60%	-0.03
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.6	27.4	16.4	24.5	2.8	24.2	127.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.9%

PHX -1.7%

LAL +3.4%

LAL +2.8%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	82.5	114.0	100.9
season	14.9	15.6		97.7	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		101.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.1	16.4	14.0	14.7	15.3
LAL	14.5	14.9	15.4	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Santiago	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	13.1	15.8	-2.69	12.8	15.6	-2.81
Elliot Perry	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-25	24	13.5	16.5	-2.97	16.2	14.2	1.96
Mario Elie	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	-20	14	15.9	15.1	0.75	15.7	14.8	0.90
Chris Dudley	39	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-25	24	14.0	16.1	-2.12	14.1	15.6	-1.48
Vinny Del Negro	53	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-21	16	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.3	14.8	0.47
Jake Tsakalidis	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-13	0	16.5	14.6	1.91	14.5	15.4	-0.84
Jason Kidd	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-11	-4	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Tom Gugliotta	16	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-12	-2	19.2	14.5	4.77	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Tony Delk	63	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-9	-8	15.1	15.5	-0.40	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Clifford Robinson	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-6	-14	15.2	15.3	-0.05	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Shawn Marion	66	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-7	-12	15.0	15.8	-0.74	15.4	14.3	1.13
Rodney Rogers	53	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-10	-6	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.6	13.4	3.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.35	28	-2	30	15.3	14.5	0.89	17.1	11.7	5.46
Horace Grant	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.15	18	8	10	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.5	14.9	0.53
Brian Shaw	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	7	12	13.5	16.4	-2.89	17.1	13.6	3.54
Rick Fox	44	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.30	22	4	18	16.2	14.0	2.20	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Derek Fisher	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	10	6	15.7	14.0	1.67	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Kobe Bryant	65	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	12	2	16.0	12.9	3.03	15.3	15.2	0.03
Devean George	49	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	22	-18	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.6	14.9	0.68
Robert Horry	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	21	-16	13.4	15.2	-1.83	20.6	14.7	5.83
Mark Madsen	39	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	27	-28	16.3	14.1	2.22	13.3	16.7	-3.38
Slava Medvedenko	18	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	24	-22	12.6	15.6	-3.08	10.9	16.4	-5.50
Mike Penberthy	20	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	23	-20	12.8	15.6	-2.79	11.6	16.3	-4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 68, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 82, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
NOP 95, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.6%