NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	7.5 [360]		MVP	Alec Burks (NYK): +33.8%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.1 [1036]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -29.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.34	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.34	0.17	0.19	0.03	6	90%	0.34	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	18	45%	0.10	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Immanuel Quickley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jericho Sims	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	18	49%	0.08	2	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.09	0.06	14	82%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Braxton Key	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	56%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.07
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.20	0.03	18	45%	-0.17	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.6	14.6	27.2	2.4	30.6	131.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.5%

DET -6.6%

NYK +26.8%

DET -8.2%

NYK +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.5	109.5	105.2	110.8
season	15.1	14.6		109.4	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		112.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	16.0	15.1	15.1	15.4
DET	13.5	12.8	15.5	16.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	64	63	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-7	16	15.4	15.6	-0.22	14.3	15.1	-0.83
RJ Barrett	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	1	0	15.3	15.8	-0.54	15.2	12.7	2.54
Julius Randle	60	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.9	13.9	0.98
Alec Burks	62	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	5	-8	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.8	14.0	0.81
Mitchell Robinson	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	6	-10	15.9	14.8	1.09	15.1	13.9	1.21
Jericho Sims	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	-4	10	14.8	15.9	-1.09	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Obi Toppin	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	15.1	15.6	-0.50	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Evan Fournier	53	56	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	3	-4	15.7	15.1	0.52	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Miles McBride	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.41	14.2	14.8	-0.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	43	41	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-9	16	14.1	14.9	-0.79	16.9	14.3	2.59
Braxton Key	26	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-10	18	15.8	14.1	1.73	16.0	15.2	0.78
Rodney McGruder	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	11.8	15.2	-3.37	13.3	15.9	-2.59
Frank Jackson	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	15.1	14.4	0.69	14.5	15.8	-1.37
Marvin Bagley III	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-10	18	14.4	15.1	-0.74	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Saddiq Bey	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.6	14.5	0.10	16.4	13.7	2.64
Kelly Olynyk	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	14	-30	14.5	14.6	-0.09	13.2	17.0	-3.78
Cade Cunningham	74	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	14.3	15.5	-1.18	16.2	13.2	3.03
Isaiah Stewart	74	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-1	0	15.2	12.5	2.69	16.0	13.7	2.36
Killian Hayes	51	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	9	-20	14.8	14.4	0.40	14.2	16.9	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.05,0.15,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.05,0	91.4%
OKC 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.42,0	91.3%
ATL 100, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.3,0.2,0.32,0.13,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.3%