NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Excitement	9.6 [88]		MVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): +35.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.7 [344]		LVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): -20.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0.15	-0.08	0.22	-0.01	16	57%	0.39	8	-0.25	3	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.07,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.09
Domantas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Alex Abrines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Semaj Christon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	6	83%	0.09	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	10	36%	-0.18	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.25	0.02	11	83%	0.40	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	70%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.04	0.05	20	59%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	22	36%	-0.09	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.07
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	13	45%	-0.03	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	32.1	15.4	23.4	2.3	32.4	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -3.9%

OKC +11.4%

OKC +56.8%

MIN -16.4%

OKC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	14.8	108.7	105.4	107.7
season	14.0	15.3		107.0	109.3
opponent	14.7	15.1		110.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.0	14.0	16.9	14.7	15.1
MIN	18.6	13.2	16.6	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	60	60	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-6	14	15.6	14.1	1.54	17.0	14.3	2.68
Jerami Grant	44	45	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	13.6	16.4	-2.74	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Norris Cole	46	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	14.0	16.1	-2.13	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Victor Oladipo	65	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.68	-9	11	-20	14.5	16.3	-1.79	16.4	15.3	1.05
Steven Adams	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	4	-6	15.8	14.0	1.78	16.7	15.2	1.44
Enes Kanter	37	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	-2	6	14.0	15.8	-1.78	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Alex Abrines	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.26	14	-12	26	15.0	15.1	-0.15	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Kyle Singler	52	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	0	2	15.8	14.1	1.71	17.0	14.8	2.21
Semaj Christon	57	56	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	11	-20	15.8	13.9	1.95	15.9	16.3	-0.34
Nick Collison	14	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	10	-18	17.6	14.6	3.04	15.6	16.1	-0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	38	36	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.14	1	-3	4	15.1	16.8	-1.71	13.0	16.4	-3.44
Brandon Rush	39	39	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-3	4	17.7	14.9	2.76	16.6	13.9	2.74
Shabazz Muhammad	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	3	-8	15.0	16.6	-1.62	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Omri Casspi	36	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	9	-20	14.4	17.1	-2.73	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.63	9	-11	20	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.2	14.1	1.17
Gorgui Dieng	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	16.8	13.4	3.40	15.5	13.5	2.00
Ricky Rubio	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.7	14.5	2.23	15.8	13.1	2.77
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	3	-8	16.7	14.1	2.57	15.3	14.3	0.96
Tyus Jones	36	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.67	3	-5	8	13.9	17.4	-3.55	14.8	15.2	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.47,0	91.1%
BOS 111, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.32,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.06,0.17,0	90.6%
GSW 102, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.16,0	90.1%