NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	4.9 [853]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +11.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.1 [665]		LVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): -13.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	17	60%	0.12	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.03	14	52%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	17	51%	0.15	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Javonte Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.03
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	0.09	22	51%	-0.04	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	0.04	13	35%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	32.4	18.3	30.5	2.4	45.4	154.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.2%

CHI +15.7%

CLE -8.3%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	14.5	104.3	100.0	110.8
season	14.5	15.2		110.9	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	14.8	16.0	15.6	15.4
CLE	16.3	14.6	16.0	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	76	76	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.22	18	-14	32	15.0	16.8	-1.74	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Zach LaVine	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	15.2	15.9	-0.67	15.9	12.8	3.13
Nikola Vucevic	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	15.6	14.8	0.78	16.0	13.3	2.71
Ayo Dosunmu	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	2	0	15.8	14.6	1.14	15.9	14.1	1.80
DeMar DeRozan	69	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	5	-6	15.7	14.4	1.27	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Tristan Thompson	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	1	2	15.2	15.5	-0.30	13.3	16.0	-2.71
Patrick Williams	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	2	0	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.4	15.2	0.18
Javonte Green	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	9	-14	15.5	15.3	0.18	16.0	14.9	1.10
Coby White	41	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	12	-20	15.2	15.5	-0.23	13.9	16.3	-2.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dylan Windler	20	22	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-12	20	17.7	14.6	3.16	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Cedi Osman	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	4	-12	16.1	15.2	0.93	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Lamar Stevens	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.42	7	-11	18	15.4	15.1	0.28	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Kevin Love	35	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	15.1	15.4	-0.29	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Lauri Markkanen	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	0	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.19	16.0	14.0	1.93
Darius Garland	86	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-8	12	15.3	15.4	-0.12	15.7	11.9	3.82
Caris LeVert	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	15.6	14.2	1.36	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Evan Mobley	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	9	-22	14.7	16.4	-1.62	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Isaac Okoro	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	3	-10	14.9	16.2	-1.22	15.4	15.2	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0	95.0%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.4%
DEN 106, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	94.4%