inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 111 Excitement6.3 [587] MVPImmanuel Quickley (NYK): +18.0%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback38.7 [22] LVPRJ Barrett (NYK): -15.0%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.180.170.070.051272%0.1800.008100%0.03
Quentin Grimes0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.030.14-0.00675%0.232-0.0600%0.00
Obi Toppin0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.120.000.021071%0.1000.001100%0.00
Mitchell Robinson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.00569%0.091-0.02650%-0.03
Taj Gibson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Miles McBride0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.00642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jericho Sims0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Alec Burks0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02863%0.052-0.043100%0.03
Evan Fournier-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011129%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
RJ Barrett-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.12-0.030.011743%-0.045-0.11875%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.015100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.12-0.000.01781%0.131-0.02771%-0.04
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01362%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0-0.000.13-0.090.041771%0.194-0.20887%0.02
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.02961%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02837%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.080.011161%0.011-0.046100%0.03
P.J. Tucker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.110.00-0.02525%-0.033-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.40.728.30.229.62.536.8123.5
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +19.5%
NYK +0.3%
NYK +16.8%
NYK +18.1%
MIA -4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMIANBANYKMIANBA
this game15.917.014.5126.1118.4110.8
season15.114.9109.4112.0
opponent14.914.6107.6109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK18.117.914.314.015.9
MIA17.117.216.317.317.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jericho Sims48480.88-0.381.260.3219-113016.914.82.0518.914.64.28
Miles McBride33330.80-0.301.100.3316-82414.716.7-1.9917.016.90.09
Immanuel Quickley45440.63-0.130.750.3980815.516.4-0.8416.817.2-0.41
Quentin Grimes29290.450.050.400.3053215.516.2-0.6917.616.70.91
Taj Gibson38390.310.190.130.2335-216.215.70.4717.116.90.23
Obi Toppin50480.190.31-0.130.0453215.716.2-0.4716.917.1-0.23
RJ Barrett6361-0.020.52-0.540.04-210-1216.115.50.6516.418.3-1.90
Alec Burks4646-0.110.61-0.73-0.2035-215.516.4-0.9316.617.4-0.87
Evan Fournier5151-0.230.73-0.96-0.14-311-1416.814.82.0017.316.60.72
Mitchell Robinson3736-0.390.89-1.280.02-1422-3615.816.1-0.2815.218.2-3.04

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon30300.20-0.700.900.026-142016.817.1-0.2715.716.1-0.42
Duncan Robinson42430.14-0.640.770.140-8817.016.90.1416.215.70.52
Markieff Morris29290.07-0.570.640.012-101218.616.22.3615.316.3-0.94
P.J. Tucker5253-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-5215.918.5-2.5716.115.70.43
Caleb Martin3837-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-3-218.515.82.7515.916.0-0.04
Jimmy Butler6668-0.540.04-0.57-0.33-7-1-616.219.4-3.2316.414.51.80
Kyle Lowry6668-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-91-1016.717.9-1.1615.617.0-1.37
Max Strus5554-0.640.14-0.78-0.35-102-1217.316.50.8015.816.2-0.38
Bam Adebayo5758-0.700.20-0.90-0.29-146-2017.116.80.2716.115.70.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.69,0.53,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.05,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 120, POR 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.19,0.03,0,0,093.0%
SEA 84, LAC 780.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,092.9%
CHA 92, BOS 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.47,0.34,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,092.7%