NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	85		Excitement	9.1 [125]		MVP	Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL): +32.4%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	4.6 [493]		LVP	Aleksej Pokusevski (OKC): -54.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindy Waters III	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.13	-0.00	7	86%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.03
Vit Krejci	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Olivier Sarr	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Theo Maledon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.03
Tre Mann	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	19	34%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	8	11%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.54	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.42,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45,-0.54,-0.54	-0.29	-0.27	-0.02	20	17%	-0.42	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.19	0.01	15	81%	0.50	5	-0.17	7	57%	-0.05
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ignas Brazdeikis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Cole Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	7	33%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.14	0.02	7	50%	-0.05	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	10	27%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	24.4	14.4	26.5	2.4	36.4	128.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +26.4%

ORL +8.5%

ORL +46.2%

OKC -29.1%

OKC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ORL	NBA	OKC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	13.1	14.5	85.0	90.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		103.2	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	16.5	15.9	15.7	15.7
ORL	12.0	12.8	12.9	14.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Maledon	45	44	0.51	-1.01	1.52	0.10	14	-19	33	15.7	15.7	0.02	13.4	12.9	0.55
Olivier Sarr	39	39	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.21	6	-11	17	15.3	16.0	-0.69	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Lindy Waters III	45	44	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.22	3	-8	11	15.8	15.6	0.26	12.8	13.3	-0.54
Aleksej Pokusevski	67	69	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.33	17	-22	39	13.6	20.0	-6.37	14.4	10.3	4.12
Vit Krejci	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	5	-15	16.6	14.0	2.53	12.9	13.5	-0.61
Aaron Wiggins	58	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	13	-31	16.9	14.1	2.81	12.2	14.2	-1.93
Darius Bazley	57	58	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.61	-8	3	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.32	13.5	12.5	0.99
Isaiah Roby	58	58	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.56	-11	6	-17	15.9	15.5	0.43	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Tre Mann	65	66	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.45	-18	13	-31	16.0	15.1	0.99	12.4	14.4	-1.94

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	65	67	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.53	13	-8	21	13.3	12.7	0.59	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Cole Anthony	59	58	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.52	13	-8	21	13.2	13.0	0.25	15.7	15.7	0.02
Franz Wagner	69	69	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-8	21	13.2	12.9	0.24	16.0	14.9	1.11
Chuma Okeke	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-2	9	13.2	12.9	0.29	16.0	15.2	0.77
Gary Harris	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	1	3	13.9	12.3	1.64	14.8	16.5	-1.73
R.J. Hampton	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	12.3	13.9	-1.64	16.5	14.8	1.73
Mo Bamba	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	5	-5	12.6	13.5	-0.91	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Ignas Brazdeikis	13	12	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.14	-7	12	-19	13.5	13.0	0.42	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Markelle Fultz	41	42	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.16	-8	13	-21	13.0	13.2	-0.25	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Moritz Wagner	45	44	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.14	-11	16	-27	12.9	13.2	-0.30	16.1	15.4	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	90.9%
SAS 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.74,1	90.8%
MIL 92, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	90.7%