NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	117		Excitement	9.2 [111]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +72.7%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	2.7 [347]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -14.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.73	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.5,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73	0.32	0.27	-0.13	21	84%	0.66	2	0.07	8	100%	0.15
Precious Achiuwa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	45%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	17	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.13	0.02	-0.17	-0.02	24	48%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Payne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.36,0.36,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.05	-0.08	18	60%	0.37	3	-0.18	4	75%	0.08
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	11	73%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.12	-0.02	16	53%	0.14	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.18	-0.00	18	58%	0.07	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	23.3	14.8	31.0	2.0	38.3	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -17.6%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +5.4%

TOR +53.0%

TOR +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	13.0	14.5	112.5	107.7	110.8
season	14.9	14.2		111.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.6	15.7	14.6	16.0	14.7
PHX	12.7	12.4	13.1	14.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	87	87	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-15	35	14.2	17.2	-3.05	13.3	11.7	1.56
Pascal Siakam	88	88	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.25	16	-11	27	14.3	16.7	-2.37	13.2	11.9	1.27
Khem Birch	58	58	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	13.8	15.8	-1.97	13.3	12.7	0.56
Fred VanVleet	81	81	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	9	-13	15.1	13.1	1.99	13.3	12.1	1.18
Chris Boucher	29	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-3	11	13.8	15.0	-1.19	11.1	13.7	-2.60
Precious Achiuwa	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	14.2	15.0	-0.81	12.2	13.5	-1.30
Dalano Banton	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	14.3	14.8	-0.49	11.0	13.6	-2.64
Scottie Barnes	78	78	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.42	-16	21	-37	15.1	13.6	1.47	13.7	11.0	2.68
Thaddeus Young	39	38	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.00	-16	21	-37	17.6	12.9	4.69	13.2	12.9	0.23

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	19	18	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-15	25	15.3	12.5	2.76	18.5	13.9	4.62
Cameron Payne	79	79	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.42	15	-20	35	13.7	10.8	2.86	15.3	12.8	2.53
Landry Shamet	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	11.7	14.1	-2.46	15.2	14.3	0.93
JaVale McGee	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	12.3	13.4	-1.16	15.5	14.2	1.37
Jae Crowder	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	1	-7	13.3	12.7	0.60	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Aaron Holiday	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	5	-15	11.0	13.6	-2.65	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Torrey Craig	31	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	4	-13	11.1	13.8	-2.68	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Mikal Bridges	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	13.8	10.5	3.32	14.8	14.2	0.67
Deandre Ayton	65	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	2	-9	13.4	12.3	1.16	14.2	15.5	-1.37
Devin Booker	81	81	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.26	-21	16	-37	13.0	13.1	-0.10	13.8	17.7	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.69,0.63,0.33,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, VAN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	91.0%
DEN 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.68,0.28,0.33,0.28,0	89.8%
TOR 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.32,0.27,0	89.6%