NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	7.5 [329]		MVP	Jamario Moon (TOR): +32.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	87		Comeback	1.7 [498]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -17.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamario Moon	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.29,0.32	0.12	0.21	0.00	8	75%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,0.24	0.04	0.21	0.01	15	69%	0.47	6	-0.23	6	100%	0.04
Jason Kapono	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	5	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.20	4	-0.16	10	80%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.01	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.07	0.03	10	70%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.08
Tyronn Lue	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.14	-0.03	19	42%	-0.06	3	-0.12	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.3	15.8	25.4	2.5	37.4	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +63.6%

TOR +18.1%

MIL -13.0%

MIL -18.1%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.6	15.5	100.0	94.6	106.4
season	15.1	15.0		105.0	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	16.8	16.2	17.9	16.9
MIL	14.0	16.7	14.5	13.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	79	80	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-10	24	16.8	17.4	-0.63	14.7	14.2	0.52
Jamario Moon	52	54	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	16.3	17.6	-1.26	14.9	14.2	0.79
Anthony Parker	83	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	16.8	17.7	-0.97	14.7	13.2	1.50
Jose Calderon	83	84	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-6	16	16.7	18.2	-1.52	14.3	17.5	-3.15
Jason Kapono	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.27	-5	9	-14	18.1	15.6	2.50	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	56	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	16.9	16.8	0.11	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Kris Humphries	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	1	2	17.2	16.8	0.35	16.8	14.5	2.37
Andrea Bargnani	35	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	13	-22	16.3	17.2	-0.99	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Joey Graham	9	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	8	-12	17.1	16.8	0.27	13.2	14.7	-1.50
Roko Leni Ukic	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	18.2	16.7	1.52	17.5	14.3	3.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	20	20	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.02	8	-12	20	14.8	14.6	0.29	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Tyronn Lue	11	10	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-10	16	17.5	14.2	3.22	17.2	16.8	0.37
Dan Gadzuric	31	31	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	14.5	14.7	-0.16	17.0	16.8	0.20
Charlie Bell	27	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-5	6	15.0	14.5	0.54	16.0	17.2	-1.25
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-9	14	13.4	15.5	-2.19	17.2	16.6	0.59
Andrew Bogut	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.1	0.82	16.9	16.8	0.13
Michael Redd	85	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.5	16.6	-2.11	17.0	16.0	0.95
Richard Jefferson	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.85	16.9	16.7	0.29
Ramon Sessions	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	5	-14	14.5	15.0	-0.51	17.0	16.5	0.51
Charlie Villanueva	51	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	15	-34	15.1	14.0	1.16	16.5	17.3	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	91.2%
CLE 82, VAN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	91.0%
BOS 95, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.33,0.15,0	90.7%