NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	13.7 [6]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +79.5%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	4.8 [204]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -59.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.46	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46	0.04	0.45	0.02	13	61%	0.52	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.20
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,0.06,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.19	-0.00	19	52%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Lou Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	8	81%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.07
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.60	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.41,-0.41,-0.44,-0.44,-0.5,-0.46,-0.53,-0.6	-0.20	-0.37	0.02	20	32%	-0.33	5	-0.26	4	50%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.02,-0.14,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.84,0.81,0.8	0.80	-0.01	0.80	-0.01	25	49%	0.91	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.60
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.01	16	59%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.04	-0.02	15	64%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.08
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.12	0.00	6	75%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	11	37%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	29.4	15.7	24.3	2.0	42.3	2.4	14.4	159.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.8%

DET +9.3%

ATL -9.3%

DET +4.6%

DET +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	14.5	107.8	113.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.6		114.3	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	18.5	14.4	14.5	14.8	18.7	15.7
DET	17.5	13.3	16.1	15.9	18.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	76	0.45	-0.95	1.41	0.28	6	-9	15	15.5	16.2	-0.72	16.1	14.9	1.20
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	2	1	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-5	7	8.0	15.8	-7.85	21.0	15.7	5.26
Clint Capela	63	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-7	11	16.1	15.1	1.00	16.2	15.2	1.07
Lou Williams	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	14.5	16.3	-1.79	15.9	15.7	0.23
Onyeka Okongwu	37	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	15.2	16.0	-0.71	16.0	15.7	0.30
John Collins	61	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-7	11	15.8	15.5	0.35	16.1	15.4	0.62
Danilo Gallinari	41	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	2	-7	15.4	15.9	-0.47	14.8	16.6	-1.82
Delon Wright	51	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.8	-0.14	15.0	16.6	-1.62
De'Andre Hunter	70	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.57	-7	4	-11	16.2	14.6	1.61	16.1	15.2	0.86
Trae Young	75	71	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.70	-9	6	-15	16.1	14.5	1.65	15.6	16.3	-0.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	80	82	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-8	19	15.5	16.8	-1.26	16.0	14.3	1.74
Marvin Bagley III	71	72	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-10	23	15.6	16.3	-0.78	14.9	17.7	-2.79
Jerami Grant	65	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	3	-3	15.5	16.3	-0.76	15.9	15.3	0.56
Killian Hayes	60	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-10	23	14.8	17.2	-2.35	15.8	15.6	0.19
Cory Joseph	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	13	-23	17.2	14.8	2.35	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Isaiah Stewart	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	18.5	15.3	3.23	19.2	15.0	4.22
Kelly Olynyk	35	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	4	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Rodney McGruder	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.14	-1	4	-5	15.6	15.9	-0.30	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Isaiah Livers	48	47	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.30	-1	4	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.88	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Saddiq Bey	50	52	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.09	-9	12	-21	17.0	14.6	2.38	15.8	15.6	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.35,0.4,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, CLE 126	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.9,0.96,1	89.8%
NYK 102, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	89.5%
CLE 77, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.84,1	89.4%