NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	6.6 [525]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (DET): +22.6%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	1.2 [287]		LVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): -18.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.23	0.03	0.13	-0.07	19	52%	0.26	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	14	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Cade Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1	0.07	-0.02	-0.06	20	55%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Livers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.05	0.04	15	70%	0.19	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	51%	0.06	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.15
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	23	29%	-0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	32.7	14.6	34.2	2.4	35.2	147.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.0%

TOR -0.3%

DET +1.2%

DET +2.6%

DET +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	14.5	114.9	115.2	110.8
season	14.6	14.9		105.0	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.9	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	16.2	15.0	18.0	15.9
TOR	16.8	15.8	12.7	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-7	16	15.3	18.3	-2.98	14.3	18.8	-4.48
Jerami Grant	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-6	14	15.2	17.6	-2.38	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Saddiq Bey	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	15.7	16.4	-0.74	15.8	12.7	3.16
Isaiah Stewart	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-6	14	16.1	15.5	0.57	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Cory Joseph	63	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-6	14	15.4	16.8	-1.47	15.7	14.0	1.72
Killian Hayes	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	9	-16	17.2	15.1	2.15	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Isaiah Livers	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	3	-4	17.9	15.6	2.25	17.3	14.9	2.47
Kelly Olynyk	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	8	-14	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.5	14.9	0.64
Hamidou Diallo	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	11	-20	17.4	15.1	2.32	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	16.6	15.6	0.95	15.7	14.9	0.82

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Svi Mykhailiuk	4	7	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.07	11	-13	24	14.0	15.2	-1.16	13.3	16.1	-2.77
Dalano Banton	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.23	10	-12	22	14.9	15.2	-0.31	17.6	15.2	2.44
Chris Boucher	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-10	18	14.2	16.3	-2.11	16.6	14.9	1.70
Precious Achiuwa	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-6	10	14.5	15.9	-1.46	16.3	15.2	1.09
Khem Birch	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	6	-14	15.7	14.7	1.05	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Malachi Flynn	52	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	16	-34	15.9	14.1	1.74	14.6	17.6	-3.02
Gary Trent Jr.	77	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	14.3	19.4	-5.13	15.3	18.4	-3.04
Scottie Barnes	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	0	-2	15.3	14.3	0.93	16.0	15.4	0.61
Pascal Siakam	79	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	6	-14	16.1	8.9	7.20	16.3	13.1	3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.04,0.01,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
ATL 104, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
MEM 100, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%