NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	5.2 [801]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +24.3%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	1.2 [430]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -14.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.07	-0.02	19	68%	0.28	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
O.J. Mayo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	12	52%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.02
Xavier Henry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	17	41%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	14	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	20	64%	0.14	5	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	44%	-0.00	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.00	5	29%	-0.05	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.2	16.5	29.5	2.7	36.4	143.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.3%

SAC -1.8%

MEM +2.4%

MEM +20.2%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.5	107.5	97.8	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		106.1	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	14.2	17.0	18.3	16.3
SAC	15.4	15.2	14.3	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	89	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-4	17	16.4	12.7	3.68	14.9	11.0	3.87
Marc Gasol	74	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.09	14	-5	19	17.0	13.4	3.65	15.0	13.7	1.21
Mike Conley	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-2	13	16.4	15.8	0.59	14.2	16.2	-2.00
O.J. Mayo	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	0	9	16.0	17.3	-1.37	14.0	17.0	-3.01
Zach Randolph	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	17.3	14.6	2.70	13.8	16.1	-2.32
Darrell Arthur	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	2	5	12.8	17.8	-5.00	16.3	14.0	2.32
Xavier Henry	28	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	14	-19	15.9	16.4	-0.54	14.8	14.7	0.15
Greivis Vasquez	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	7	-5	7.0	16.5	-9.47	24.0	14.6	9.40
Acie Law	22	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	16.6	16.2	0.48	15.9	14.4	1.50
Hasheem Thabeet	23	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	18	-27	16.4	16.2	0.22	15.5	14.4	1.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-16	23	15.9	14.1	1.76	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Darnell Jackson	37	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-20	31	14.9	14.6	0.37	17.0	15.7	1.30
Francisco Garcia	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-15	21	14.6	14.8	-0.16	16.8	15.2	1.66
DeMarcus Cousins	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	13.7	15.7	-2.02	15.2	17.4	-2.22
Carl Landry	36	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	1	-11	15.9	13.9	1.99	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Beno Udrih	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	1	-11	14.7	14.8	-0.09	16.3	16.3	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	5	-19	15.0	14.1	0.88	17.6	13.9	3.70
Omri Casspi	51	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	5	-19	14.4	15.1	-0.68	15.5	17.3	-1.79
Tyreke Evans	76	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	6	-21	14.2	17.0	-2.82	16.0	17.7	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
UTA 111, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 104, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%