NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	105		Excitement	8.9 [140]		MVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL): +34.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	6.4 [197]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -21.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.31,0.31	0.05	0.25	-0.00	9	64%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.05
Luke Kennard	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	9	95%	0.23	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	17	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.13	0.01	10	50%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	46%	0.04	1	-0.09	8	37%	-0.09
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	57%	0.10	5	-0.19	6	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.25	-0.00	9	76%	0.39	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.01	4	60%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.08
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.01	14	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	21	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	18	48%	-0.04	6	-0.17	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.5	27.4	14.7	29.1	2.8	50.0	153.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +87.7%

LAL -19.4%

LAC +18.7%

LAL -35.9%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.7	14.5	102.9	101.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.3		108.8	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	12.5	15.3	13.5	13.6
LAL	14.5	15.8	11.8	17.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	42	41	1.14	-0.64	1.77	0.58	19	-16	35	12.8	14.2	-1.41	16.5	13.5	2.98
Terance Mann	78	76	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.78	9	-6	15	13.7	13.4	0.29	14.1	16.6	-2.47
Amir Coffey	47	45	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.60	0	3	-3	13.7	13.6	0.04	15.9	13.8	2.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	9	-15	13.8	13.4	0.41	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Luke Kennard	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-4	11	13.5	14.0	-0.47	15.6	12.8	2.75
Ivica Zubac	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	13.3	13.8	-0.47	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Reggie Jackson	72	72	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	10	-17	13.0	15.2	-2.17	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Nicolas Batum	40	42	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.18	-4	7	-11	14.6	13.0	1.54	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Isaiah Hartenstein	57	56	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.21	-6	9	-15	14.5	12.6	1.94	15.6	13.7	1.86

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	56	55	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.17	1	-4	5	14.6	14.9	-0.30	14.4	12.8	1.62
Malik Monk	51	54	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-10	17	15.3	14.2	1.11	13.4	13.9	-0.41
Stanley Johnson	27	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.4	1.31	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Trevor Ariza	39	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	14.3	15.0	-0.71	13.9	13.5	0.39
Russell Westbrook	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.51	2	-5	7	14.2	16.0	-1.81	13.8	13.3	0.47
Carmelo Anthony	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.0	14.4	0.66	13.5	13.8	-0.35
Austin Reaves	72	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.86	13.3	14.5	-1.26
Talen Horton-Tucker	55	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	10	-23	16.1	13.1	3.08	13.8	13.4	0.39
LeBron James	76	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	1	-5	14.1	16.6	-2.42	13.4	14.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	90.8%
LAC 83, VAN 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.15,0	90.4%
BOS 82, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0	89.6%