inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 128 Excitement5.6 [726] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +17.2%
Sacramento Kings 110 Comeback1.1 [1031] LVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAC): -15.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.170,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.220.020.071777%0.202-0.036100%0.02
JaMychal Green0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.05-0.004100%0.182-0.044100%0.02
Monte Morris0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.170.010.08995%0.131-0.032100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.031568%0.152-0.06771%0.00
Austin Rivers0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.01856%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Bryn Forbes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.004100%0.113-0.0700%0.00
Markus Howard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davon Reed0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001060%0.063-0.0800%0.00
Jeff Green-0.030,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00939%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bones Hyland-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00926%-0.081-0.0210%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.15-0.01-0.002370%0.254-0.111100%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.05-0.00-0.02770%0.112-0.04683%0.01
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.00861%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02757%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.031033%0.0100.001100%0.00
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04375%0.0000.002100%0.01
Josh Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.060.071853%-0.044-0.12250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.30.125.515.326.52.531.5127.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +33.0%
DEN +0.7%
DEN +13.5%
SAC -3.4%
DEN +6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game14.813.114.5123.1106.8110.8
season14.814.0113.4109.2
opponent14.614.4114.4111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.613.915.317.814.8
SAC12.212.713.514.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green53520.55-0.050.590.081621413.915.6-1.7613.912.21.73
Will Barton69700.480.020.46-0.3127-93614.515.3-0.7613.711.81.88
Monte Morris65670.440.060.39-0.2925-73214.615.0-0.4013.711.91.77
Aaron Gordon71710.260.240.01-0.271801814.515.2-0.6313.113.00.14
JaMychal Green33320.240.26-0.020.27-119-2015.214.50.6313.013.1-0.14
Nikola Jokic76750.230.27-0.04-0.271711614.515.3-0.7813.113.00.14
Austin Rivers56570.220.28-0.07-0.11117415.813.52.2813.113.1-0.03
Bryn Forbes45460.090.41-0.330.14-220-2214.614.9-0.2612.713.4-0.75
Bones Hyland39360.060.44-0.390.26-725-3215.014.60.4011.913.7-1.77
Markus Howard430.000.50-0.500.12-422-2618.214.63.645.313.3-7.97
Facundo Campazzo430.000.50-0.500.12-422-2618.214.63.645.313.3-7.97
Davon Reed53-0.050.55-0.610.12-624-3014.614.8-0.165.313.3-7.97

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Jackson440.00-0.500.50-0.124-22266.513.3-6.8318.214.63.64
Domantas Sabonis8080-0.06-0.440.380.17-8-10212.814.0-1.2015.113.61.46
Trey Lyles1413-0.13-0.370.240.08-7-11413.113.10.0011.915.2-3.23
Donte DiVincenzo4647-0.13-0.370.23-0.11-1-171612.713.4-0.7115.713.91.78
Maurice Harkless3030-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-13812.913.1-0.1914.514.9-0.35
Harrison Barnes7474-0.16-0.340.180.22-13-5-813.113.00.0514.415.5-1.05
Davion Mitchell6363-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-13813.013.2-0.2215.613.52.08
Jeremy Lamb4343-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-8-213.912.41.4814.514.9-0.41
De'Aaron Fox7778-0.34-0.16-0.170.19-180-1813.312.40.8614.714.8-0.13
Damian Jones2324-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.15-10-8-214.012.81.2013.615.1-1.46
Justin Holiday6164-0.600.10-0.69-0.10-17-1-1613.013.1-0.0514.215.5-1.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 94, CLE 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,094.2%
CHI 93, ATL 760.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,094.2%
SAC 95, SEA 770.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,094.0%