NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	7.2 [406]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +53.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	51.1 [25]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL): -7.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.13	0.21	-0.05	0.02	24	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.01	14	50%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	14	46%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.02	9	30%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Eric Paschall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	6	83%	0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.56,0.53	0.53	0.14	0.38	-0.01	23	69%	0.61	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	6	60%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	9	85%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.07	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.6	26.3	15.3	30.3	2.8	41.3	147.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.9%

UTA -11.1%

LAL +20.4%

LAL +1.2%

LAL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	14.5	108.6	114.0	110.8
season	14.8	14.3		115.1	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.7		112.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	16.6	14.2	15.0	14.9
LAL	17.1	17.7	14.6	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	39	40	0.58	-1.08	1.66	-0.01	20	-25	45	13.4	16.1	-2.65	17.2	15.1	2.11
Trent Forrest	24	26	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.12	17	-22	39	12.6	15.8	-3.18	16.9	15.7	1.20
Jordan Clarkson	43	44	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.06	4	-9	13	14.7	15.1	-0.42	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Danuel House Jr.	30	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-4	3	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Eric Paschall	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	1	-7	16.5	14.4	2.09	14.4	16.6	-2.17
Donovan Mitchell	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.5	16.5	-2.09	16.6	14.1	2.53
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.3	-0.54	16.6	14.8	1.85
Royce O'Neale	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.6	0.59	16.7	14.7	2.05
Mike Conley	55	54	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.32	-25	20	-45	16.0	13.5	2.49	15.1	17.3	-2.13
Rudy Gobert	54	52	-1.11	0.61	-1.72	-0.32	-27	22	-49	16.1	13.4	2.65	15.3	16.9	-1.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	60	58	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.46	8	-3	11	14.9	18.1	-3.21	14.2	16.3	-2.10
Talen Horton-Tucker	62	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-2	9	15.5	17.0	-1.42	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Malik Monk	53	54	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	16.8	14.9	1.92	15.8	13.8	2.03
LeBron James	73	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-2	9	15.9	16.4	-0.55	15.9	10.8	5.04
Russell Westbrook	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	0	5	16.4	15.1	1.33	14.5	16.0	-1.56
Wayne Ellington	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	7	-9	13.9	16.2	-2.36	17.8	14.6	3.13
Kent Bazemore	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.11	2	3	-1	16.6	15.9	0.73	15.9	14.8	1.14
Anthony Davis	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	17.6	15.2	2.44	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Stanley Johnson	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	5	-5	17.2	15.3	1.89	15.1	14.9	0.18
Dwight Howard	25	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.15	1	4	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.58	13.0	15.6	-2.59
Trevor Ariza	37	39	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	13	-21	15.1	16.7	-1.61	15.4	14.6	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	91.8%
MIA 121, NYK 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.28,0.66,0.84,1	91.2%
CLE 101, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.26,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.78,0.91,1	90.8%