NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	124		Excitement	8.8 [162]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +55.1%
Atlanta Hawks	130		Comeback	6.4 [214]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -16.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.09	0.00	8	94%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	3	150%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.01	17	62%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.07	0.04	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	14	73%	0.21	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.04
Javonte Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	0.00	4	80%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.17	-0.03	20	52%	0.07	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.52,0.55	0.55	0.29	0.28	0.02	18	85%	0.69	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.06
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.25	0.02	13	62%	0.35	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	13	61%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.14	0.04	13	60%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	26.4	14.8	26.0	1.8	36.2	128.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.5%

ATL +7.4%

CHI -6.0%

ATL +32.6%

CHI -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.5	127.8	134.0	110.8
season	14.5	14.6		110.9	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.2	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	13.8	15.6	15.4	15.0
ATL	15.4	16.2	13.8	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	55	56	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.03	17	-23	40	13.7	16.7	-2.98	14.7	14.7	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	25	26	0.48	-0.98	1.47	-0.04	18	-24	42	12.4	15.9	-3.56	16.0	14.2	1.79
Troy Brown Jr.	30	30	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-11	16	14.7	15.1	-0.48	16.2	14.0	2.14
Tristan Thompson	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-12	18	14.0	15.7	-1.72	16.3	13.5	2.77
Javonte Green	42	42	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	11	-28	16.2	14.1	2.18	14.2	15.1	-0.92
DeMar DeRozan	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.2	-0.25	15.0	13.4	1.58
Ayo Dosunmu	72	71	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	9	-24	15.4	13.9	1.51	14.0	16.5	-2.42
Nikola Vucevic	72	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.30	-19	13	-32	16.0	12.2	3.83	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Zach LaVine	70	70	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.44	-17	11	-28	15.6	13.5	2.10	14.0	16.4	-2.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	65	66	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.42	22	-16	38	14.0	16.2	-2.19	15.8	13.4	2.37
Clint Capela	68	67	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.45	19	-13	32	13.8	16.8	-2.95	15.8	13.2	2.65
De'Andre Hunter	72	73	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.36	19	-13	32	13.9	17.0	-3.16	15.7	12.9	2.82
Trae Young	76	76	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.47	13	-7	20	14.4	15.9	-1.49	15.1	14.6	0.55
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	8	-10	14.7	14.6	0.10	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Danilo Gallinari	61	60	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	11	-16	15.5	13.2	2.29	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Lou Williams	24	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.11	-6	12	-18	15.1	14.6	0.52	14.7	15.1	-0.46
Gorgui Dieng	28	29	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.12	-13	19	-32	17.0	13.8	3.25	13.5	15.6	-2.16
Delon Wright	29	29	-0.63	1.13	-1.75	-0.13	-17	23	-40	16.8	13.8	3.05	13.2	15.7	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.21,0.14,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.53,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 113, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.92,1	90.1%
MIN 89, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.54,0.67,0.98,1	89.5%
PHI 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.57,0.73,1	89.3%