NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	6.0 [643]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +27.2%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.1 [801]		LVP	Derrick White (SAS): -7.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.27	0.11	0.13	-0.04	32	54%	0.29	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	65%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	4	73%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Tyrese Maxey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	14	55%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.01
Charlie Brown Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	16	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	7	77%	0.13	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.12	4	-0.13	10	70%	-0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	15	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	24.8	14.5	24.4	2.3	32.4	125.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.9%

PHI +17.2%

PHI +13.3%

PHI +1.3%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	14.5	118.6	112.4	110.8
season	15.2	13.9		112.4	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.6		111.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	15.1	16.2	17.0	15.7
SAS	15.0	13.7	14.4	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	15.9	14.0	1.89	13.5	17.9	-4.43
Furkan Korkmaz	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.1	17.5	-2.38	13.8	14.9	-1.05
Isaiah Joe	48	50	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	-1	8	15.9	15.4	0.47	16.2	11.7	4.44
Joel Embiid	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-2	10	15.4	16.1	-0.65	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Tobias Harris	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	16.1	14.3	1.86	14.2	13.7	0.52
Georges Niang	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	3	0	15.7	15.6	0.18	14.4	13.6	0.80
Charlie Brown Jr.	60	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	8	-10	15.2	16.5	-1.29	12.8	15.9	-3.12
Andre Drummond	33	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	8	-10	16.1	15.4	0.65	15.0	13.6	1.38

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	18.0	13.7	4.28	14.9	15.7	-0.87
Keita Bates-Diop	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-5	4	15.9	13.3	2.62	16.0	15.5	0.53
Drew Eubanks	11	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	2	-10	15.8	13.8	2.02	14.0	15.9	-1.85
Devin Vassell	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	14.8	13.5	1.30	14.9	16.2	-1.40
Doug McDermott	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-5	4	13.7	14.4	-0.70	16.1	15.0	1.08
Lonnie Walker IV	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-6	6	15.1	13.0	2.09	16.4	14.9	1.53
Derrick White	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	13.9	14.3	-0.39	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Keldon Johnson	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	13.3	15.9	-2.62	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Jakob Poeltl	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	13.4	16.7	-3.24	15.9	14.4	1.58
Dejounte Murray	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	13.3	17.6	-4.23	15.5	16.4	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAC 96, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.02,0	95.2%
SAS 112, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.2%