NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	9.2 [114]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (GSW): +22.2%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	14.7 [252]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -23.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Josh Christopher	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.09	0.00	5	80%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	7	31%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Wood	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,-0.06,-0.06	0.08	-0.12	0.02	13	68%	0.07	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,-0.08	0.04	-0.10	0.01	14	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Jalen Green	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.08	-0.02	11	12%	-0.19	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.00	8	72%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.05,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.17	-0.00	21	44%	0.21	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.01	15	59%	0.21	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	33.5	15.4	34.5	2.4	27.4	141.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +54.9%

GSW +10.9%

HOU -21.4%

HOU -4.5%

GSW +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	14.5	105.1	108.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.2		107.5	112.2
opponent	14.9	13.9		106.7	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	13.2	14.5	19.3	15.2
GSW	15.1	14.5	14.3	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Christopher	27	28	0.55	-1.05	1.59	0.22	11	-13	24	15.5	15.1	0.41	14.4	14.3	0.06
Armoni Brooks	28	27	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-8	14	15.2	15.2	0.09	14.8	14.2	0.59
Garrison Mathews	49	49	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-10	18	16.2	14.2	1.96	14.1	14.6	-0.58
Alperen Sengun	30	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	15.9	14.9	1.03	15.0	14.1	0.91
Kenyon Martin Jr.	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-5	8	16.7	13.7	2.94	14.2	14.5	-0.38
Christian Wood	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.9	-1.03	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Kevin Porter Jr.	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.9	-1.03	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Jae'Sean Tate	50	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	5	-12	13.5	17.0	-3.52	14.8	14.0	0.81
Jalen Green	51	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	10	-22	15.0	15.4	-0.34	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Eric Gordon	70	67	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.55	-14	12	-26	15.0	15.7	-0.69	14.6	13.8	0.85

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	66	67	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.57	18	-16	34	14.2	14.6	-0.34	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Otto Porter Jr.	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.31	16	-14	30	14.2	14.5	-0.32	15.3	15.1	0.17
Andrew Wiggins	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	14.2	14.9	-0.71	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Stephen Curry	77	77	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	0	2	14.4	14.3	0.00	15.6	13.7	1.87
Kevon Looney	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-4	10	14.1	14.9	-0.76	15.2	15.1	0.09
Gary Payton II	41	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	11	-20	14.2	14.4	-0.18	16.3	14.4	1.93
Juan Toscano-Anderson	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	14.4	14.3	0.03	11.6	15.5	-3.89
Damion Lee	40	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	14	-26	15.2	13.8	1.45	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Nemanja Bjelica	31	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	14.9	14.1	0.76	15.6	15.0	0.56
Jonathan Kuminga	31	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	9	-16	14.3	14.4	-0.09	15.5	15.0	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	90.9%
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	90.8%
NYK 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1	90.7%