NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	8.0 [283]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +20.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	2.3 [881]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -13.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.21	0.18	0.02	-0.01	18	65%	0.22	1	-0.02	18	94%	0.10
Matt Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	-0.00	7	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	11	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	17	51%	-0.02	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	28%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	15	23%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	12	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	23	52%	0.15	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.3	28.4	15.0	37.0	2.8	36.5	150.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +20.1%

CHI -3.7%

MIL +25.1%

MIL +10.4%

CHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	14.5	92.8	95.9	110.8
season	14.5	13.7		110.9	112.2
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.4	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	15.9	17.0	15.2	15.9
MIL	12.7	15.4	13.0	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Hill	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	14.5	16.0	-1.49	12.0	13.7	-1.71
Matt Thomas	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-1	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.03	13.4	13.8	-0.44
Troy Brown Jr.	39	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	2	-8	15.9	16.0	-0.09	13.8	13.5	0.32
Alex Caruso	49	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-6	8	14.6	17.3	-2.66	13.2	14.1	-0.85
Tyler Cook	53	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	5	-14	16.2	15.6	0.66	12.8	14.7	-1.87
Ayo Dosunmu	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-7	10	15.8	16.4	-0.52	13.8	12.8	0.97
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-5	6	16.3	14.4	1.87	14.0	12.1	1.88
Nikola Vucevic	69	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-4	4	16.3	15.0	1.30	14.1	12.6	1.52
Coby White	73	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	4	-12	16.4	14.5	1.84	13.6	13.6	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	70	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	13.8	13.1	0.67	16.4	14.7	1.69
George Hill	53	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-4	12	13.8	13.4	0.45	16.8	14.9	1.89
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	3	-2	12.7	17.0	-4.36	15.9	15.9	0.09
Bobby Portis	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-5	14	14.7	12.3	2.44	16.3	15.5	0.87
Jrue Holiday	56	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	5	-6	13.2	14.2	-0.99	15.2	16.9	-1.73
Pat Connaughton	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	4	-4	13.9	13.2	0.74	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Wesley Matthews	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	12.7	14.2	-1.58	16.0	15.9	0.12
Donte DiVincenzo	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	8	-12	13.3	13.9	-0.52	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Grayson Allen	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	14.7	12.9	1.86	16.4	15.6	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.9%
UTA 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	92.8%
ORL 119, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%