NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	116		Excitement	7.3 [399]		MVP	Moritz Wagner (ORL): +27.1%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	2.6 [137]		LVP	Cody Martin (CHA): -13.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.13	0.04	17	76%	0.31	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Franz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	79%	0.16	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
R.J. Hampton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	67%	0.14	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	8	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	18	57%	0.19	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	14	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	17	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	23	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	4	36%	-0.02	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	25.4	14.7	31.3	1.7	33.6	132.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +66.3%

CHA -12.1%

CHA -4.4%

ORL +1.9%

CHA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.1	13.5	14.5	107.4	100.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.0		103.4	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	13.7	12.0	13.1	13.1
CHA	13.7	15.7	11.2	14.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	81	83	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.22	24	-17	41	12.8	14.1	-1.30	14.2	11.2	3.03
Moritz Wagner	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	13.2	13.1	0.13	13.5	13.6	-0.05
Terrence Ross	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	13.4	12.7	0.70	12.5	14.8	-2.31
Jalen Suggs	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	5	-3	13.0	13.2	-0.19	12.8	14.2	-1.31
Cole Anthony	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	3	1	13.4	12.8	0.58	13.9	13.0	0.97
R.J. Hampton	49	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	3	1	12.9	13.4	-0.52	14.2	13.0	1.21
Gary Harris	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	8	-9	13.4	12.5	0.90	13.3	14.0	-0.64
Robin Lopez	46	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	13.1	13.2	-0.13	13.6	13.5	0.18
Chuma Okeke	50	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	13	-19	13.0	13.3	-0.33	13.4	13.7	-0.29

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	59	62	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-14	21	13.2	14.0	-0.79	13.3	12.9	0.47
Jalen McDaniels	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-8	9	14.4	13.1	1.33	12.8	13.3	-0.54
Ish Smith	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-5	3	13.1	13.6	-0.55	12.1	13.3	-1.21
P.J. Washington	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	13.7	13.4	0.32	13.0	13.2	-0.23
Miles Bridges	94	93	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	13.6	13.1	0.44	13.2	12.6	0.63
Cody Martin	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	2	-11	12.9	14.1	-1.26	12.9	13.3	-0.38
Gordon Hayward	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	13.1	15.4	-2.30	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Terry Rozier	85	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	-2	-3	13.7	12.9	0.84	13.4	12.1	1.34
LaMelo Ball	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	6	-19	14.1	12.5	1.60	13.3	12.8	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.38,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 134, NOP 131	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0	92.0%
LAL 115, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.0%
LAL 112, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.29,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.6%